From: Washington, DC
Historically the Germans didn't really know what the Finns were going to do nor could they force them into doing what they wanted.
Yes, agreed, and no problem with that.
What doesn't make sense, in my opinion, is that if the Germans capture Narva and/or Luga, as they almost certainly will in every game, then the Finns will almost certainly be allowed to attack Leningrad--the only issue is how soon.
Given that during the war the Germans capture Narva and Luga, and yet the Finns did not attack beyond the historic border during the next four years of the war. Given this history, I don't understand why the Finns have a 10% of activating PER TURN?
If the Germans capture Narva and Luga by mid-August, then given the probability, German players can expect the Finns to activate by the end of September (ie, 10 x 4 day turns = 40 days). Again, given the probabilities, they are virtually certain to activate at some point.
The current design replaces what should be a low probability that the Finns will activate with a virtual certainty that they will do so. I can't see how this makes any sense in a historical scenario?