Where are the Panzer IIIs

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Walloc
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RE: Where are the Panzer IIIs

Post by Walloc »

ORIGINAL: rmonical

This is the updated accounting for Pz IIIs. There is an increase of some 60 unaccounted Panzer IIIs all due to the uncertain dynamics of the withdrawals. The game engine will build the divisions up to 75% - I suspect in actuality, they were much weaker when they were pulled out. For example, 29.PG shows up in WITW at 68% strength and 70 morale.

Image

There a few problem with these numbers and in some assumptions.

1st. There places u lose tank other places than listed. Most notebly non of those losts at sea is counted in ur figurs. These are for example 3rd Pz Reg and 31st Pz Reg lost coys. There is no accounting for that in ur numbers. Those are reconstituded from what would be in game fall 41 production.
2ndly Assumption that all tank produced makes it too the front. They dont. A number is send to Pz Schules and so on. Eventually some of tehse ends up at the front but far from all. There is no account for that in ur figurs. Those ofc would have to be deducted from production number as there is no per say game feature that removes tho from production, not that im suggesting u should. Just removing those from the production is much easier.
3rdly A number of Pz is lost during transporting to the various front, again some is swimming with the fishes. There is no game feature for this and shouldnt be deducting those from production is much easier.
4thly Tho u in some cases like Tigers have pool u dont in game in my experience og the game end up in historic situasion of having older Models that in essense for many end up unused. U end with 534 PzIII, where most are not used in units at the end of the war. Thats alone more than the missing 300 not counting the otehr 3 points. How do u propose u deal with that?

Kind regards,

Rasmus
rmonical
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RE: Where are the Panzer IIIs

Post by rmonical »

Most notebly non of those losts at sea is counted in ur figurs.
All of the convoy losses to Africa were counted. Re: the post Greece convoys - Jentz says tanks were lost. Other sources disagree. http://www.feldgrau.net/forum/viewtopic ... 24&t=10434 points out the Halder dairies state the initial report of tanks losses was incorrect because the tanks were transported on the first trip. This thread has a scan of the vehicles in the sinkings. So as of May 2009, the loss of 2.Pz tanks in the sinking of Marburg and Kybfels should be relegated to urban legend status. http://forum.axishistory.com/viewtopic. ... 0&t=117843

In any event, those losses in May would have been part of Niehortstors 6.22.41 accounting of tanks (which is based on Jentz).
Assumption that all tank produced makes it too the front. They dont. A number is send to Pz Schules and so on.
How many Pz III were allocated to the Panzer schools? I was not able to find that information. My guess is the number is very small to zero in June 41. In addition to the PzIII and PzIV not in units, Niehorstor shows 658 PzI and 264 PzII not in units - these are probably the school tanks.
3rdly A number of Pz is lost during transporting to the various front, again some is swimming with the fishes.
As I mentioned, I agree that late war should have a lost in transit allowance that goes above the impact of strategic bombing on the factory and transport infrastructure. This certainly does not apply in 41&42 in Russia. In addition, tanks lost in transit will almost always be recovered and repaired. What examples do you have of tanks (other than convoy losses) written off as a result of transit losses?

This is all speculation. I have used the best facts I can find on-line to count panzers. If there are better facts available, please share and I will incorporate them into the count. The 6.22.41 panzer count is from Niehorstor. He shows a lot of tanks not in units (presumably depots). This makes sense as they had just finished a campaign. My point is these tanks in depot on 6.1.41 do not make it back to the front with the current scenario design. I suggest one solution is to slightly increase production to allow these tanks to trickle back to the front.
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RE: Where are the Panzer IIIs

Post by Walloc »

ORIGINAL: rmonical
Most notebly non of those losts at sea is counted in ur figurs.
All of the convoy losses to Africa were counted. Re: the post Greece convoys - Jentz says tanks were lost. Other sources disagree. http://www.feldgrau.net/forum/viewtopic ... 24&t=10434 points out the Halder dairies state the initial report of tanks losses was incorrect because the tanks were transported on the first trip. This thread has a scan of the vehicles in the sinkings. So as of May 2009, the loss of 2.Pz tanks in the sinking of Marburg and Kybfels should be relegated to urban legend status. http://forum.axishistory.com/viewtopic. ... 0&t=117843

Well, then some of their tanks disappeared some where else. As Pz Reg 3 is issues 79 Pz3 in june-july 1941 has 105 at sep 1941. A difference of 26. There could be other issues of tanks i havent seen any evidence on isnt listed in my sources. They had 71 pz III at the start of Marieta. 8 writes offs for 63 left. So there is at leased 37 lost some where..... Urban myth or not.
Pages 154-157 in Jentz volume 1. As those are issues during game production times those would have to be deducted. Even if losses are in may.
For Pz reg 31/(5th Pz Div) on june 21 it has 17 Pz III. Starts with 51 so 34 in difference. 10 in WOs, 14 going to Crete neding with 10 unaccounted for. Rumors in Jenzt that soem is lost going to Crete.
Any how so as 31 Pz Reg has 17 Pz3s on june 21 and 105 in sep it has to have been issued 85 during game time. From Jentz too.
ORIGINAL: rmonical
In any event, those losses in May would have been part of Niehortstors 6.22.41 accounting of tanks (which is based on Jentz).

As a word of caution. There is a lack/delay in the reporting of tank losses so tho lost in one month u cant take the figurs 100% litterally. There is an obvious delay in reporting. A good example is June-Aug 1944 vs the sep-oct 1944.
In the month of june through aug 1944 u have Normandy france debacle and Soviet operation North and South of the Pripesk marshes. This is about the heavies fighting involving more or less 80 90% of the german pz truppen. What happens in Sep through Oct 1944, Not much involving the Pz truppen. That said the pz bde in the West do take some sigificant PzVs casulties, but far from these kinda figurs.
Losses Again according to Jentz from OKW figurs are for panthers:
June 138
July 373
Aug 290
Combined 801

Sep 692
Oct 294
Combined 986.

So in sep oct u would have taken 20 ish % more losses than during the summer battles of 1944 on both fronts. Its not a question of not being unlikely its impossible. Its obvious alot of those losses in Sep and possibly Oct numers has to have been taken earlier. So in june through aug logically there is a delay in reporting that gets into teh Sep Oct figurs. Again According to Jenzt the combined str of PzVs on the West is 150 on sep 15 1944. Again Jentz. They hardly have 692 panthers in sep 1944 so well u cant lose them there.
How many Pz III were allocated to the Panzer schools? I was not able to find that information. My guess is the number is very small to zero in June 41. In addition to the PzIII and PzIV not in units, Niehorstor shows 658 PzI and 264 PzII not in units - these are probably the school tanks.

This is all speculation. I have used the best facts I can find on-line to count panzers. If there are better facts available, please share and I will incorporate them into the count. The 6.22.41 panzer count is from Niehorstor. He shows a lot of tanks not in units (presumably depots). This makes sense as they had just finished a campaign. My point is these tanks in depot on 6.1.41 do not make it back to the front with the current scenario design. I suggest one solution is to slightly increase production to allow these tanks to trickle back to the front.

Well i dont have precise figurs either but as u say u have 234 not with units. At end of war its 534 left in inventory(there could be some that is for example bef pz3 with units so i wont say 534 at the end of the war is 100% accurate but its presumably pretty close.) So there is a constand of tank not in units.

Any how if we take the 234 Pz 3 not with units, this number varies through out the war but a said ends at some where near double that number ar end of the war. Add 16 in 5./ Pz Reg 31 that ends up and spends the war on Crete there for not listen in ur above numbers.
Add the 10 unaccounted for in 31 pz reg, add 14 lost on way to Africa. Thats 276 in all. So IMO so close to the 300 as u possibly can get at leased IMO we down to numbers that is insignificant. I cant see production of Pz3 being much more precise.

Then there are questions like are the sep 1941 reorg of 21st Pz into a full pz div not taken out of prodcution per say. One can argue if they are included in the production going to the "West" or not but there is another 60'ish that should or shouldnt be deducted from production.
From Jentz too.

Its clear if u add 300 u will end up with more PzIIIs in units than historic so i certainly would leave it as is. Yes u prolly never can find 100% accurate figurs and some varies though out the war. How many that arent in units/depots. So u will have to pick soem arbitrary number but its clear there they a constand of some sort.


Kind regards,

Rasmus
darbycmcd
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RE: Where are the Panzer IIIs

Post by darbycmcd »

Yeah, I think if you get to the 300 number, it is just impossible to patch together these sources and get a completely accurate, to-the-tank number. It probably isn't worth the effort to try. But, your PzIV numbers, if I can read your spreadsheet correctly, might be a bigger problem. If there are more than a thousand missing, that is worth following up.
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RE: Where are the Panzer IIIs

Post by Denniss »

By the end of the war most/all Befehlspanzer III should be of the fully armed variant with either long/short 5cm or even the 7.5cm gun. The dummy gun production was discontinued with the H variant.
The number may include Beobachtungspanzer III unless they are specifically mentioned as such (AFAIR belonged to Artillery then).
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RE: Where are the Panzer IIIs

Post by Walloc »

ORIGINAL: rmonical

I took a detailed look at Pz IV longs. It looks almost OK as of the beginning of WITW. One problem I see is total WITE production for Pz IVh is 2544 verses 3774 historical. I see that WITW ups production by 10 per week, but that only makes up half of the difference. Most of this production shortfall appears after 7/1/43. Same situation for the PzIVjs. So just looking at the raw numbers, it appears the Germans are shorted PzIV longs from early '43 on. Another source shows 8156 PzIV longs 42-45.



Image

Can i ask where u got the PzIVJ numbers from?
My unconfirmed records is 1758 produced u have 2920 as hist. Quite a difference, just about the 1300 difference u find so thot that was interresting.


Rasmus
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RE: Where are the Panzer IIIs

Post by Denniss »

Get your hands on Panzer Tracts 23 for all tank production or try the tank-specific series of the other Panzer tracts variants.

To summarize again:
IVg: 1927 from 3/42 to 6/43 (includes renamed F2 and small series equipped with L/48 gun (used from 4/43))
IVh: 2324 from 6/43 to 2/44
IVj: 3160 from 2/44 to ~4/45, the vast majority from Nibelungenwerke, none from Krupp and just ~180 from Vomag

IIIh: 286, + 175 Befehlspanzer with dummy gun
IIIj: ~1521 (short 5cm gun) + 81 armed Befehlspanzer J (just Bow MG removed)
IIIL: ~1470 (long 5cm gun) + 50 armed Befehlspanzer K (just Bow MG removed), including those with long guns initially named as J
IIIm: 517
IIIn: 614
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RE: Where are the Panzer IIIs

Post by rmonical »

I think this is important enough to discuss some more.

IMHO, the fundamental questions are how many PzIIIs were there on 6.22.41, how many were produced, how many were lost in the Mediterranean, and how many are in WITW on 7/1/43. The biggest issue is WITE produces 3375 PzIIIjs and later models. Most sources say that number should be 4180. The argument seems to be that reinforcements make up the difference. They do not when withdrawals are also considered.

If you use the WITE production model, you cannot get to the WITW starting condition - it is just impossible. In this spreadsheet I run the production, Africa, reinforcements and estimated withdrawals to get to WITE production model of PzIIIs available for the West as of 7/1/43. That number is -39 meaning the WITE production model is guaranteed to under produce Pz IIIs by 435 to get to the WITW starting condition.


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rmonical
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RE: Where are the Panzer IIIs

Post by rmonical »

Can i ask where u got the PzIVJ numbers from?
Achtung Panzer narrative. It could easily be wrong. I'm more concerned about the PzIVh shortfall in 43-44 than late war Pz IV shortfall when IMHO, panzers had trouble making it from the production line to the front.
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RE: Where are the Panzer IIIs

Post by rmonical »

As I did the most recent analysis, I realized I did not add the 4 withdrawing motorized divisions to the withdrawal analysis. This is a tough one because they withdraw the same month they upgrade to PG status. If they withdraw as Motorized divisions or before the medium tanks are swapped out, then 108 Pz IIIs will be withdrawn. With these, the missing Pz IIIs are up to 455.


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rmonical
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RE: Where are the Panzer IIIs

Post by rmonical »

ORIGINAL: Denniss

Get your hands on Panzer Tracts 23 for all tank production or try the tank-specific series of the other Panzer tracts variants.

To summarize again:
IVg: 1927 from 3/42 to 6/43 (includes renamed F2 and small series equipped with L/48 gun (used from 4/43))
IVh: 2324 from 6/43 to 2/44
IVj: 3160 from 2/44 to ~4/45, the vast majority from Nibelungenwerke, none from Krupp and just ~180 from Vomag

IIIh: 286, + 175 Befehlspanzer with dummy gun
IIIj: ~1521 (short 5cm gun) + 81 armed Befehlspanzer J (just Bow MG removed)
IIIL: ~1470 (long 5cm gun) + 50 armed Befehlspanzer K (just Bow MG removed), including those with long guns initially named as J
IIIm: 517
IIIn: 614
Looks like these folks have the most current research.


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RE: Where are the Panzer IIIs

Post by morvael »

I think only full war in Europe will allow solving this problem (or at least a "West Front Box"). Perhaps withdrawals and reinforcements should arrive empty, getting/returning their equipment from the standard pool at the moment of arrival/withdrawal, which should include all production and have some built in attrition (variable) to show losses elsewhere than on the eastern front.
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RE: Where are the Panzer IIIs

Post by Denniss »

The Pz III J/K Befehlspanzer should be added to the list as J and M, that's the model they were based on (they were all new-builts and not converted).
The IIIJ with long gun were officially named L by March 42, roughly the same time the IV F2 got this temporary name before getting the final name G in Summer.
About 70 J-M tanks were converted to IIIn. It's (at least for me) not really known how many of the older III were upgraded to latest armor and long 5cm during overhauls.

I don't have Panzer Tracts 3-3 (JLM) or 3-4 (command versions) which may or may not contain further info.
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RE: Where are the Panzer IIIs

Post by morvael »

Perhaps dabbling with this too much at this stage of the game's life is dangerous. I can only say that in my PBEM game I have thought of German AFV strength as too low in 1942 (I'm playing the other side, but still), while from late '43 the problems seems gone (7000 Axis AFV vs 16000 Soviet) - this may suggest a need to fix PzIV production OR it's deployment problems (if those tanks were in the pools, while units were empty). I don't have Axis tank strength in that year, but can provide those from my game for each turn.
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RE: Where are the Panzer IIIs

Post by morvael »

3864 - starting
1439 - 1941-12-11 (all time low)
1902 - 1942-01-29
2111 - 1942-02-26
2425 - 1942-03-26
2972 - 1942-04-30
2952 - 1942-05-28
2380 - 1942-06-25
2182 - 1942-07-30
2190 - 1942-08-27
2163 - 1942-09-24
2359 - 1942-10-29
2499 - 1942-11-26
2637 - 1942-12-31
2633 - 1943-01-28
3001 - 1943-02-25
3270 - 1943-03-25
3451 - 1943-04-29
3949 - 1943-05-27
4142 - 1943-06-24
4256 - 1943-07-29
4402 - 1943-08-26
4619 - 1943-09-30
5226 - 1943-10-28
5968 - 1943-11-25
6547 - 1943-12-30
6780 - 1944-01-27
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RE: Where are the Panzer IIIs

Post by rmonical »

ORIGINAL: Denniss
The Pz III J/K Befehlspanzer should be added to the list as J and M, that's the model they were based on (they were all new-builts and not converted).
The IIIJ with long gun were officially named L by March 42, roughly the same time the IV F2 got this temporary name before getting the final name G in Summer.
About 70 J-M tanks were converted to IIIn. It's (at least for me) not really known how many of the older III were upgraded to latest armor and long 5cm during overhauls.

I don't have Panzer Tracts 3-3 (JLM) or 3-4 (command versions) which may or may not contain further info.
And here is the update.


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RE: Where are the Panzer IIIs

Post by rmonical »

ORIGINAL: morvael
Perhaps dabbling with this too much at this stage of the game's life is dangerous. I can only say that in my PBEM game I have thought of German AFV strength as too low in 1942 (I'm playing the other side, but still), while from late '43 the problems seems gone (7000 Axis AFV vs 16000 Soviet) - this may suggest a need to fix PzIV production OR it's deployment problems (if those tanks were in the pools, while units were empty). I don't have Axis tank strength in that year, but can provide those from my game for each turn.
While I agree, I would like to see something sooner than WITE2 with a West Front box. The West Front is very well bounded until the start of WITW as shown by my analysis. Getting early war production right is very important given the very small numbers of German tanks 41-43. This is my recommendation for the next round scenario design. This represents an increase of 539 PzIIIs to those currently available in WITE. About 5 per week.


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RE: Where are the Panzer IIIs

Post by Denniss »

As I said Germany upgraded most III/IV sent either deliberately home for it or those sent-in for overhaul. Program for III with 3.7cm was already started in 40 with ~170 completed by June 41. Additional 115 were converted in 41 past June, 85 in 42 and a lonely one in 43. Armor plates were often directly delivered to the front for field modes (welding-on bolts to hold the armor plates). Panzer Tracts 3-2 has an image of a G that even received the stand-off armor system of late L/M tanks.
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RE: Where are the Panzer IIIs

Post by Gabriel B. »

German panzer 3 production as compiled by M. Hillebrand after the war ;
1941
june 133
july 127
aug 179
sep 178
oct 164
nov 206
dec 171

1942

jan 95+64
feb 216
mar 244
apr 246
may 246
jun 228
jul 231
aug 231
sep 217
oct 188
nov 178
dec 221

average 1942 production 48/week

1943

jan 46
feb 34
mar 35
apr 46
may 43
jun 11

that is about 3978 tanks , as the J was produced since March .




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RE: Where are the Panzer IIIs

Post by Denniss »

July-October 42 and February-June 43 numbers are inflated by IIIn production, the 20 IIIn in August 43 are missing (the 64+34+1 Flammpanzer as well).
IIIm production was just 46+22 in first two months of 43. Also missing are 131 J/K command tanks built from August 42 to February 43 + a small number of unarmed H command tanks built after June 41 to early 42.
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