The Battle of the Atlantic often swings back and forth. It seems there will be several turns in a row where sub losses are minimal, followed by several turns where the subs are being hit hard. But this is often just about luck and the law of averages. There are 26 turns in a year of Warplan. So go ahead and flip a coin 26 times. In most cases by the end of your 26 flips the number of heads and tails you have flipped will be pretty equal. But sometimes the number of heads you have flipped will be considerably more than the number of tails or vice versa. Even if they are close to equal, after 26 flips, you may notice that you had 3 or 4 flips in a row that were heads and another 3 or 4 that were tails. This is essentially what is happening in the BOA.
Having said the above, there are a number of factors that will influence how well, or poorly, the Allies do in the BOA. These factors include:
1. How many escorts are in the attacked convoy lane? The fewer you have below the number required (usually 10), the more likely the U-Boats are to win the battle on a particular turn.
2. What is the percentage increase in your ASW rating as a result of having CVs and DDS on a convoy line within 24 hexes of the U-Boats?
3. What are the relative tech levels of the escorts and the subs?
4. What is the reconnaissance level of the other player in the hex where the U-Boats are located? The higher the reconnaissance level the more likely the escorts and attacking aircraft are to find and damage the subs. This is why your subs in the Mediterranean were hammered by the Italian aircraft. They were too close to a coastal hex owned by the Axis, so the Axis had a high reconnaissance level. For the same reason German U-Boats in the Atlantic will do much better if they stay away (at least 7 hexes) from Allied controlled land hexes (ie the UK, Iceland and Greenland).
5. Are the subs attacking in wolf packs of 2, or even better, 3? For some reason they seem to do better when they do.
6. I am not sure about this one, but I also believe that the year makes a difference. U-Boats in 1939 and 1940 just seem to do better than U-Boats in later years.
< Message edited by Harrybanana -- 6/12/2021 3:01:44 AM >