From: Republic of Cascadia
Yeah, honestly the thing is not that you can one-shot Bulgaria. It’s that a surprise attack on Bulgaria from Serbia makes sense even from a historical POV if you think they’re going to enter the war on the CP side and if you can overwhelm them before help from the rest of the CP arrives. But the thing is you have to have the forces there to do it.
I guess one thing we haven’t talked about is whether there should be a morale hit (or US entry hit) for doing this, because it does mean you’re attacking a neutral and the Entente were supposed to be the “good guys” in terms of respecting neutrality.
I'm not sure if a morale hit on the Entente (though, possibly yes on the US) is warranted given the situation that had occurred in this game between Tanaka and I.
It was mid 1916, and Tanaka bypassed Belgrade, but took Nish early in the war. Now, as I understand things regarding Bulgaria's pro-CP sympathies, taking Belgrade, besieging (and/or taking Novo-Georgievsk-Warsaw, taking Nish and other CP successes will increase the Bulgars interest in entering the war on the CP's side significantly Without diplomacy investments. Bulgaria has a baked-in irredentist policy towards a Greater Bulgaria..which means seizing Serbian held Macedonia.
Now, in the game between Tanaka and I, (As pointed out earlier in this thread and another), Bulgaria stood at 70% pro-CP for over a year because of successes by Tanaka's CP in Poland and Serbia. However, he did not invest any diplomatic money in Bulgaria the whole time. I managed to get Romania into the war and used them to hazard the Austro-Hungarians in Nish and relieve my lone Serb corp surrounded in Belgrade. The Romanians got mauled, I lost Belgrade, but retook Nish with a combined Serbo-Greek-Uk group. This adhoc group attacked Sofia, even though there were KuK right next to them. It was I that would have my forces there in southern Serbia "crushed like a beer can" if I hadn't sprung on Bulgaria at that time. Bulgaria's intent to quit neutrality and join the Central Powers was quite evident, as her pro-CP leaning shot up in 2 turns to 99%. Now this is not some helpless nation like Belgium or Denmark wishing to stay neutral...this is a country that has willful intent to commit aggression. If it was Bulgaria in 1914 with a lowish pro-CP leaning being surprised attacked somehow by an Entente power, then maybe some kind of NM hit would be warranted, at least, in my opinion.
I do think, though, that something to 'beef up' the detachment in Sofia or swapping of a corp there or some other means is necessary to make it slightly harder so that Bulgaria can possibly survive "The Bulgarian Gambit"
< Message edited by OldCrowBalthazor -- 9/20/2020 12:38:30 AM >