From: Jacksonville, FL, USA
In an actual conflict, in terms of long range strike missile usage, if i were the PLA commander, Taiwan island will of course be 1st priority - there PLA has around 1000 DF-11A missiles. Then 2nd priority would be Okinawa, where PLA has 200~400 ballistic missiles (DF15/16) capable of reaching, plus a few hundred cruise missiles. After that, Ryukyu, other home islands of Japan, Iwo Jima or Guam,
i think you are right, the PLA does not have enough firepower to suppress any of those airbases for any meaningful period, at the meantime i suppose US/Japan side probably want to spread out their assets to a dozen airbases rather than the closest ones in Ryukyu, just to reduce the risk.
So I did an experiment. I created a "Sandbox" Okinawa Missile strike scenario (shared in next post) with a single strike by six (6) various PRC Missile Brigades (types: DF-15C, DF-17, DF-21C, DF-26, DF-100) against Okinawa. It assumes the attack was a surprise (all aircraft on the ground) but also assumes a "reasonable" U.S. & Japanese ABM defense of the island, includes one JMSDF Improved Kongo Class destroyer. The THAAD and Patriot batteries aren't beefed up, they are just what is reported to be on the island. The image included is the result of one missile Strike. Which I think you will find to be disappointing for the PRC considering the missiles expended vs.results.
Unfortunately I can't figure out how to add a longer ROF for the PRC missiles I added to the PRC Batteries for a reasonable reload time [about 60 minutes]. Right now the ROF is 1 second???????? So there are no follow on strikes. I suspect follow on strikes might have more success as the Patriots and THAADs are expended.
So some major changes i am planning on:
1, reduce B-1 and LRASM (maybe just station them in Guam instead of airborne? less burden managing them for players and less tankers needed)
2, more airbases around Ryukyu and southern Honshu
3, spreading out USN CVBG
4, design a better escorted H-6 strike with lua
Those all sound like good changes to me.
"Some people spend an entire lifetime wondering if they made a difference. The Marines don't have that problem."
PRESIDENT RONALD REAGAN, 1985
I was Navy, but Assigned TAD to the 24th MAU Hq in Beirut. By far the finest period of my service!