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RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 11:59:04 AM   
HansBolter


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From: St. Petersburg, Florida, USA
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From Daily Wire this morning:

Epidemiologist Warns Lockdown Policies ‘Not Evidence-Based’, Unsustainable In Democracies

On Friday, one of the world’s most senior epidemiologists, Professor Johan Giesecke, sat down with UnHeard and discussed lockdown policies across the globe, and what he perceives as the policies’ weaknesses in tackling the China-originated novel coronavirus, COVID-19.

Professor Giesecke currently serves as an advisor to the Swedish Government, was the first Chief Scientist of the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (CDC), and a former advisor to the director general of the WHO (he’s now retired and serves as an advisor to the WHO only in an honorary capacity).

“The measures we should take against the pandemic should be evidence-based,” he told UnHeard, “and when you start looking around for the measures are being taken now by different countries, you find that very few of them have the shred of evidence base.”

The only measure “we know” will work “is washing your hands is good for you and good for others when you’re in epidemic, but the rest, like border closures, school closures, social distancing, there’s almost no science behind most of these,” argued Giesecke.

In the end, the leading epidemiologist said, most democratized nations will have similar outcomes with regard to deaths, lockdown or not. Lockdowns, he argued, are unsustainable and could have serious political consequences, highlighting Hungary’s Prime Minister Viktor Orban, who recently made a controversial power grab citing the virus......

Link to full article: https://www.dailywire.com/news/epidemiologist-warns-lockdown-policies-not-evidence-based-unsustainable-in-democracies

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Post #: 5371
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 11:59:14 AM   
Cap Mandrake


Posts: 22747
Joined: 11/15/2002
From: Southern California
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quote:

ORIGINAL: HansBolter



From Briebart this morning:

L.A. County Study: Coronavirus Outbreak Up to 55 Times More Widespread, Less Deadly than Predicted

The novel coronavirus has infected roughly 4.1 percent of the population in California’s Los Angeles County, suggesting the region’s outbreak is far more widespread than previously thought, between 28 and 55 times higher than the number of confirmed cases, new research shows, echoing the findings of a similar study elsewhere in the state.

However, the new data, if accurate, also indicates that the coronavirus death rate in L.A. County, the most populous in the country, is lower than initially predicted. Researchers from the University of Southern California (USC) and the L.A. Department of Public Health gleaned the data from antibody testing of about 863 county residents. Antibodies are an indication that an individual’s immune system has responded to a past infection.

On Monday, CNBC reported:

USC and the health department released preliminary study results that found that roughly 4.1% of the county’s adult population has antibodies to the coronavirus, estimating that between 221,000 adults to 442,000 adults in the county have had the infection.

This new estimate is 28 to 55 times higher than the 7,994 confirmed cases of Covid-19 [coronavirus illness] reported to the county in early April. The number of coronavirus-related deaths in the county has now surpassed 600, according to the Department of Public Health. The data, if correct, would mean that the county’s fatality rate is lower than originally thought.

Link to the article: https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020/04/20/l-a-county-study-coronavirus-outbreak-up-to-55-times-more-widespread-less-deadly-than-predicted/


That is quite similar to the Santa Clara County study.

(in reply to HansBolter)
Post #: 5372
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 12:04:23 PM   
HansBolter


Posts: 7339
Joined: 7/6/2006
From: St. Petersburg, Florida, USA
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Cap Mandrake


quote:

ORIGINAL: HansBolter



From Briebart this morning:

L.A. County Study: Coronavirus Outbreak Up to 55 Times More Widespread, Less Deadly than Predicted

The novel coronavirus has infected roughly 4.1 percent of the population in California’s Los Angeles County, suggesting the region’s outbreak is far more widespread than previously thought, between 28 and 55 times higher than the number of confirmed cases, new research shows, echoing the findings of a similar study elsewhere in the state.

However, the new data, if accurate, also indicates that the coronavirus death rate in L.A. County, the most populous in the country, is lower than initially predicted. Researchers from the University of Southern California (USC) and the L.A. Department of Public Health gleaned the data from antibody testing of about 863 county residents. Antibodies are an indication that an individual’s immune system has responded to a past infection.

On Monday, CNBC reported:

USC and the health department released preliminary study results that found that roughly 4.1% of the county’s adult population has antibodies to the coronavirus, estimating that between 221,000 adults to 442,000 adults in the county have had the infection.

This new estimate is 28 to 55 times higher than the 7,994 confirmed cases of Covid-19 [coronavirus illness] reported to the county in early April. The number of coronavirus-related deaths in the county has now surpassed 600, according to the Department of Public Health. The data, if correct, would mean that the county’s fatality rate is lower than originally thought.

Link to the article: https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020/04/20/l-a-county-study-coronavirus-outbreak-up-to-55-times-more-widespread-less-deadly-than-predicted/


That is quite similar to the Santa Clara County study.



I strongly believe that the worst bought of flu I have ever had in my life during New Years weekend was the corona virus.

I also strongly believe if tested I would be shown to be carrying antibodies to the virus.

I also believe, maybe not so strongly, that the experience in LA is the same all over....that it is way more widespread and we have developed way more heard immunity than is currently accepted as general knowledge.

_____________________________

Hans


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Post #: 5373
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 12:32:52 PM   
MakeeLearn


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China's military has resumed drills as the US military grapples with the coronavirus
Apr 15, 2020,


https://www.businessinsider.com/chinese-military-resumed-drills-as-us-military-deals-with-coronavirus-2020-4


"As the epidemic surged in China, the PLA was forced to suspend all large-scale joint drills because of disruptions to transport and allocations of military resources around the country.

On Saturday, one of the large-scale drills resumed. A six-ship flotilla, led by the Liaoning aircraft carrier, sailed through the Miyako Strait — just 330km (205 miles) due east of the northernmost tip of Taiwan — on its way to the western Pacific.

"In the future, the Chinese navy will continue to organise similar training schedules to accelerate and improve the combat capability of its aircraft carrier strike groups," navy spokesman Gao Xiucheng was quoted as saying in PLA Daily."



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Post #: 5374
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 12:35:06 PM   
MakeeLearn


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Chinese state media claims country's navy is not affected by coronavirus
April 15, 2020


https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/13/asia/china-coronavirus-aircraft-carrier-deployment-dp-hnk-intl/index.html



"Hong Kong (CNN)The coronavirus outbreak, which began in the Chinese city of Wuhan in December last year, has spread to more than 180 countries and sickened close to 2 million people, including more than 80,000 in China.

Yet according to the Chinese government, not a single serving member of the country's military has been infected.

The reported absence of cases among China's armed forces comes despite the fact that thousands of military personnel were sent to Wuhan to assist in front line medical efforts.

It also comes in sharp contrast to other military powers, notably the United States, which have seen an uptick in cases in recent weeks.

As if to underscore this point, China's official military news agency has taken to proclaiming the navy's operational readiness in the face of the global pandemic.

Earlier this week, a report detailing the deployment of a Chinese naval flotilla to the Pacific was offered as evidence that the People's Liberation Army Navy has reportedly done a better job controlling coronavirus than the US Navy."


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Post #: 5375
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 12:41:22 PM   
MakeeLearn


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Epidemic hinders US military presence near China
April 16, 2020

People's Daily Online
http://en.people.cn/n3/2020/0416/c90000-9680284.html

"The aircraft carrier USS Theodore Roosevelt, the anchor of a deterrent force against China’s advances in the South China Sea, has been docked in Guam indefinitely.

A COVID outbreak swept through the ship’s 4,865-person crew last month, and has since infected at least 615 sailors, killed one and sent five others into a Guam hospital.

The only other American carrier deployed in the Pacific, the USS Ronald Reagan, is receiving maintenance for four months in Yokosuka, Japan, available only for “Selected Restricted Availability,” and in Bremerton, Washington, the Navy has quarantined the crew of the next carrier strike group scheduled for duty in the Pacific, led by the USS Nimitz.

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Post #: 5376
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 12:43:17 PM   
MakeeLearn


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Introduction to People's Daily Online


"People's Daily Online, founded on January 1, 1997, is a large-scale information exchange platform with news at its core, constructed by China’s largest newspaper - People’s Daily. It is also a public media and culture company with People's Daily at the center of its interest control. On April 27, 2012, People's Daily Online went public on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, becoming China's first news website listed on the A-share market."

Military
http://en.people.cn/90786/index.html

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RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 12:45:11 PM   
MakeeLearn


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Robot warriors join Chinese military arsenal, will free soldiers from dangerous missions
April 15, 2020

http://en.people.cn/n3/2020/0415/c90000-9679816.html



" The Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) is in possession of the small ground robot, which can traverse complicated terrains, accurately observe battlefield situations and provide ferocious firepower, the PLA Eastern Theater Command said on Sina Weibo on Monday when reposting a China Central Television (CCTV) report on the robot.

The thigh-high robot looks like a small assault vehicle. It walks on tracks similar to a tank, allowing it to adapt to complicated terrains in open field combat, move quickly and climb stairs, CCTV reported."




Attachment (1)

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RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 12:49:18 PM   
MakeeLearn


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I hope I don't get the Controlvi... Coronavirus.

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RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 12:57:17 PM   
MakeeLearn


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China’s Hudong Zhonghua shipyard to launch new ship on Wednesday
April 21, 2020

http://en.people.cn/n3/2020/0421/c90000-9682114.html

"China's Hudong Zhonghua shipyard in Shanghai is expected to launch a new ship on Wednesday. Some military observers believe it could be China's second Type 075 amphibious assault ship.

A new ship built by the Hudong Zhonghua company will undock from 1:20 pm to 2:50 pm on Wednesday, and a water area of 1,500 meters long and 350 meters wide near the dock will be restricted for navigation, according to a navigation notice released on the website of the Maritime Safety Administration of China on Monday.

The notice did not specify the type of the ship."

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RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 1:13:13 PM   
Chickenboy


Posts: 25288
Joined: 6/29/2002
From: San Antonio, TX
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Cap Mandrake


quote:

ORIGINAL: HansBolter



From Briebart this morning:

L.A. County Study: Coronavirus Outbreak Up to 55 Times More Widespread, Less Deadly than Predicted

The novel coronavirus has infected roughly 4.1 percent of the population in California’s Los Angeles County, suggesting the region’s outbreak is far more widespread than previously thought, between 28 and 55 times higher than the number of confirmed cases, new research shows, echoing the findings of a similar study elsewhere in the state.

However, the new data, if accurate, also indicates that the coronavirus death rate in L.A. County, the most populous in the country, is lower than initially predicted. Researchers from the University of Southern California (USC) and the L.A. Department of Public Health gleaned the data from antibody testing of about 863 county residents. Antibodies are an indication that an individual’s immune system has responded to a past infection.

On Monday, CNBC reported:

USC and the health department released preliminary study results that found that roughly 4.1% of the county’s adult population has antibodies to the coronavirus, estimating that between 221,000 adults to 442,000 adults in the county have had the infection.

This new estimate is 28 to 55 times higher than the 7,994 confirmed cases of Covid-19 [coronavirus illness] reported to the county in early April. The number of coronavirus-related deaths in the county has now surpassed 600, according to the Department of Public Health. The data, if correct, would mean that the county’s fatality rate is lower than originally thought.

Link to the article: https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020/04/20/l-a-county-study-coronavirus-outbreak-up-to-55-times-more-widespread-less-deadly-than-predicted/


That is quite similar to the Santa Clara County study.



Pretty grandiose extrapolation based on 863 samples. Out of a population of 10M, what is that? .00863%. I don't have the gumption to run that through sample size calculators right now, but I doubt the statistical validity of extrapolating such miniscule sample numbers to the entire population of LA County. It's a fine line between statistically valid population sampling / extrapolating that information to a larger population versus a sop for the masses.

From the article: "If you have one percent of your population infected and you have a test that’s only 99 percent specific that means that when you find a positive, 50 percent of the time will be a real positive, and 50 percent it won’t be. And that’s why we’re really asking people to start testing in among the first responders and the health care workers who may have had the greatest exposures because that’s where the tests will be most reliable and then when we have the luxury we can go out to broader and broader communities".

New York state has tested >660,000 people for the virus (RT-PCR): 3.4%. About 1.2% of the population is positive for the virus. How 'random' serology testing of 0.0015% of the population (3,000 people) will provide actionable information that can be extrapolated to the whole body is beyond me. I'm leaning towards a sop.

I'm not sure how this changes any decisions either. So the LA county IFR is much lower than we thought it was in January. Big whoop. Now what? The USC epi guy is suggesting that this means that we're 'early' in the outbreak for LA county then. Totally bogus line of reasoning. You will *never* get 100.0% exposure to these sorts of community agents. These things reach a saturation point well below that and peter out. One could argue that-based on waning clinical case submissions-that this thing has shot its bolt in the population at hand and will wane over time.

And finding lots of asymptomatic seroconverters / lower IFR augurs towards downplaying the significance of this outbreak. As we drive IFR closer to 0, people will be unable to distinguish between this and seasonal influenza / the common cold. And they will bristle at those restrictions on our daily lives that differ from normal seasonal influenza restrictions (to whit: none).

So caveat emptor-be careful what you look for, because you may find it. Now that you found it, now what?

< Message edited by Chickenboy -- 4/21/2020 1:29:04 PM >


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RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 1:14:32 PM   
MakeeLearn


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SARS and MERS: What’s Next?
February 23, 2017

https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2017/02/170223144729.htm


"It may be difficult to remember now, but when SARS was first recognized in February 2003, people were scared. This heretofore unknown disease was killing people—nearly 10 percent of those infected with what came to be recognized as the SARS-associated coronavirus. "

"Therefore, there still may be cause for concern about this type of virus. "There are likely hundreds of coronaviruses out there in bats," Leibowitz said. "We've only really seen two of them manifest as severe diseases in humans, and they all may have some potential for transmission to other species -- including us."

"I have no real doubt that there will be another outbreak of a coronavirus," Leibowitz added. "We don't know where or when or which one, but we need to be ready.""

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Post #: 5382
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 1:21:11 PM   
Chickenboy


Posts: 25288
Joined: 6/29/2002
From: San Antonio, TX
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: HansBolter

From Daily Wire this morning:

Epidemiologist Warns Lockdown Policies ‘Not Evidence-Based’, Unsustainable In Democracies

On Friday, one of the world’s most senior epidemiologists, Professor Johan Giesecke, sat down with UnHeard and discussed lockdown policies across the globe, and what he perceives as the policies’ weaknesses in tackling the China-originated novel coronavirus, COVID-19.

Professor Giesecke currently serves as an advisor to the Swedish Government, was the first Chief Scientist of the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (CDC), and a former advisor to the director general of the WHO (he’s now retired and serves as an advisor to the WHO only in an honorary capacity).

“The measures we should take against the pandemic should be evidence-based,” he told UnHeard, “and when you start looking around for the measures are being taken now by different countries, you find that very few of them have the shred of evidence base.”

The only measure “we know” will work “is washing your hands is good for you and good for others when you’re in epidemic, but the rest, like border closures, school closures, social distancing, there’s almost no science behind most of these,” argued Giesecke.

In the end, the leading epidemiologist said, most democratized nations will have similar outcomes with regard to deaths, lockdown or not. Lockdowns, he argued, are unsustainable and could have serious political consequences, highlighting Hungary’s Prime Minister Viktor Orban, who recently made a controversial power grab citing the virus......

Link to full article: https://www.dailywire.com/news/epidemiologist-warns-lockdown-policies-not-evidence-based-unsustainable-in-democracies


Good interview, Hans. Thanks for sharing.

I agree with every point he made, excepting the prediction of long-term seroconversion (in UK and Sweden) at >50% a year from now. No evidence for that.

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Post #: 5383
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 1:28:11 PM   
RangerJoe


Posts: 8477
Joined: 11/16/2015
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Cap Mandrake

I was assigned by the medical group to go to a conference presented by the CDC on CW and biological warfare. HORY CRAP! That s*** makes COVID seem like a diaper rash. FEMA has big inventories of Doxycycline and Cipro all over for anthrax. I asked the speaker where they were and she laughed at me. If we are ever attacked by weaponized anthrax it ma be the only ones left are teenage girls taking Doxy for acne and everyone on Cirpo for a UTI.


A drug dealer told me that Cipro can cause tendonitis where the Achilles tendon will spontaneously rupture. This tendonitis can be permanent because it messes up the RNA.

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Seek peace but keep your gun handy.

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(in reply to Cap Mandrake)
Post #: 5384
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 1:35:06 PM   
RangerJoe


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Joined: 11/16/2015
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Cap Mandrake

I was assigned by the medical group to go to a conference presented by the CDC on CW and biological warfare. HORY CRAP! That s*** makes COVID seem like a diaper rash. FEMA has big inventories of Doxycycline and Cipro all over for anthrax. I asked the speaker where they were and she laughed at me. If we are ever attacked by weaponized anthrax it ma be the only ones left are teenage girls taking Doxy for acne and everyone on Cirpo for a UTI.


Yes, NBC (Nuclear, Biological, and Chemical) warfare is terrible. The antidote for nerve gas is another poison. If you ever smell fresh mown hay when you should not, that might be mustard gas which is a blister agent. If you smell almonds when you should not, that is probably hydrogen cyanide.

As far as stockpiles of medical supplies, there should be one with the inventory rotated so nothing should be wasted. IF there is a need for the masks, rotate the stockpile with Last In, First Out. The inventory going out could be used in hospitals, fire fighting or where ever needed. The equipment send out, should be returned and refurbished for the next time. The states and local governments should have a stockpile as well as the national government - of whatever country.

_____________________________

Seek peace but keep your gun handy.

I'm not a complete idiot, some parts are missing!

“Illegitemus non carborundum est (“Don’t let the bastards grind you down”).”
― Julia Child


(in reply to Cap Mandrake)
Post #: 5385
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 1:42:43 PM   
MakeeLearn


Posts: 4231
Joined: 9/11/2016
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quote:

ORIGINAL: RangerJoe


quote:

ORIGINAL: Cap Mandrake

I was assigned by the medical group to go to a conference presented by the CDC on CW and biological warfare. HORY CRAP! That s*** makes COVID seem like a diaper rash. FEMA has big inventories of Doxycycline and Cipro all over for anthrax. I asked the speaker where they were and she laughed at me. If we are ever attacked by weaponized anthrax it ma be the only ones left are teenage girls taking Doxy for acne and everyone on Cirpo for a UTI.


Yes, NBC (Nuclear, Biological, and Chemical) warfare is terrible.


Yes, which is why CoVid19 is such a GREAT bioweapon.

If someone wants me to explain I will take the time.



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Post #: 5386
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 1:47:30 PM   
RangerJoe


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Alfred


quote:

ORIGINAL: CaptBeefheart

... while they thought nobody was looking, they arrested a bunch of pro-democracy figures in Hong Kong last weekend...



You overlooked something else done last weekend. China has just created 2 new administrative districts in the Paracel and Spratly islands.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-04-20/vietnam-protests-beijings-expansion-in-disputed-south-china-sea/12165646

This action has far longer term ramifications than the Hong Kong arrests for it represents outright de facto annexation. It moves the South China Sea conflict from one over internationally disputed islands to one over established sovereign Chinese land. At least that is the legal narrative China will present to any legal challenge made under the Law of the Sea rules.

Alfred


It has already lost concerning the Spratley Islands:

International Court Issues Unanimous Award in Philippines v. China Case on South China Sea
The Court’s award is in the Philippines’ favor on most questions.

https://thediplomat.com/2016/07/international-court-issues-unanimous-award-in-philippines-v-china-case-on-south-china-sea/

_____________________________

Seek peace but keep your gun handy.

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“Illegitemus non carborundum est (“Don’t let the bastards grind you down”).”
― Julia Child


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Post #: 5387
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 1:59:58 PM   
RangerJoe


Posts: 8477
Joined: 11/16/2015
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quote:

ORIGINAL: MakeeLearn

quote:

ORIGINAL: RangerJoe

quote:

ORIGINAL: Cap Mandrake

I was assigned by the medical group to go to a conference presented by the CDC on CW and biological warfare. HORY CRAP! That s*** makes COVID seem like a diaper rash. FEMA has big inventories of Doxycycline and Cipro all over for anthrax. I asked the speaker where they were and she laughed at me. If we are ever attacked by weaponized anthrax it ma be the only ones left are teenage girls taking Doxy for acne and everyone on Cirpo for a UTI.


Yes, NBC (Nuclear, Biological, and Chemical) warfare is terrible.


Yes, which is why CoVid19 is such a GREAT bioweapon.

If someone wants me to explain I will take the time.


I understand that the US military foam rubber protective gear are quite warm. Wash out the carbon filter, dye it orange, then go deer hunting.

_____________________________

Seek peace but keep your gun handy.

I'm not a complete idiot, some parts are missing!

“Illegitemus non carborundum est (“Don’t let the bastards grind you down”).”
― Julia Child


(in reply to MakeeLearn)
Post #: 5388
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 2:01:39 PM   
RangerJoe


Posts: 8477
Joined: 11/16/2015
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Chickenboy

quote:

ORIGINAL: HansBolter

From Daily Wire this morning:

Epidemiologist Warns Lockdown Policies ‘Not Evidence-Based’, Unsustainable In Democracies

On Friday, one of the world’s most senior epidemiologists, Professor Johan Giesecke, sat down with UnHeard and discussed lockdown policies across the globe, and what he perceives as the policies’ weaknesses in tackling the China-originated novel coronavirus, COVID-19.

Professor Giesecke currently serves as an advisor to the Swedish Government, was the first Chief Scientist of the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (CDC), and a former advisor to the director general of the WHO (he’s now retired and serves as an advisor to the WHO only in an honorary capacity).

“The measures we should take against the pandemic should be evidence-based,” he told UnHeard, “and when you start looking around for the measures are being taken now by different countries, you find that very few of them have the shred of evidence base.”

The only measure “we know” will work “is washing your hands is good for you and good for others when you’re in epidemic, but the rest, like border closures, school closures, social distancing, there’s almost no science behind most of these,” argued Giesecke.

In the end, the leading epidemiologist said, most democratized nations will have similar outcomes with regard to deaths, lockdown or not. Lockdowns, he argued, are unsustainable and could have serious political consequences, highlighting Hungary’s Prime Minister Viktor Orban, who recently made a controversial power grab citing the virus......

Link to full article: https://www.dailywire.com/news/epidemiologist-warns-lockdown-policies-not-evidence-based-unsustainable-in-democracies


Good interview, Hans. Thanks for sharing.

I agree with every point he made, excepting the prediction of long-term seroconversion (in UK and Sweden) at >50% a year from now. No evidence for that.


Yes, thank you.

_____________________________

Seek peace but keep your gun handy.

I'm not a complete idiot, some parts are missing!

“Illegitemus non carborundum est (“Don’t let the bastards grind you down”).”
― Julia Child


(in reply to Chickenboy)
Post #: 5389
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 2:25:45 PM   
witpqs


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Cap Mandrake

Mario Cuomo hates Trump. Cuomo launched a NY State investigation with the explicit purpose of getting Trump's tax returns. CNN hates Trump. Fredo Cuomo at CNN hates Trump. It's a damily thing. The only things missing are cars blowing up in Sicily and fat guys with girots.

Is it inefficient to have state buyers bidding against FEMA? Sure. Is it some scheme to get rich? No. It's thousands of government bureaucrats trying to do what their bosses told them to do. Cuomo also demanded 20,000 vents and they gave him 8000. He complained about that too. Turns out FEMA was right. If his job was to boost up the morale of New Yorkers and hit Trump you would have to say he was successful. There is quite a strong draft Cuomo movement among the Dems.

As I recall Cuomo demanded 30,000 ventilators, and said publicly (paraphrased for memory) 'send all the ventilators you have to NY, and I will send them on to others who need them after we are finished with them'.

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Post #: 5390
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 2:26:57 PM   
Cap Mandrake


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Chickenboy

Pretty grandiose extrapolation based on 863 samples. Out of a population of 10M, what is that? .00863%. I don't have the gumption to run that through sample size calculators right now, but I doubt the statistical validity of extrapolating such miniscule sample numbers to the entire population of LA County.


It's about the sample size of many Presidential polls, where they purport to assay 130 million voters. At least they admit their CI is the size of Delaware

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Post #: 5391
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 2:33:32 PM   
Nomad

 

Posts: 4732
Joined: 9/5/2001
From: West Yellowstone, Montana
Status: online

quote:

ORIGINAL: witpqs


quote:

ORIGINAL: Cap Mandrake

Mario Cuomo hates Trump. Cuomo launched a NY State investigation with the explicit purpose of getting Trump's tax returns. CNN hates Trump. Fredo Cuomo at CNN hates Trump. It's a damily thing. The only things missing are cars blowing up in Sicily and fat guys with girots.

Is it inefficient to have state buyers bidding against FEMA? Sure. Is it some scheme to get rich? No. It's thousands of government bureaucrats trying to do what their bosses told them to do. Cuomo also demanded 20,000 vents and they gave him 8000. He complained about that too. Turns out FEMA was right. If his job was to boost up the morale of New Yorkers and hit Trump you would have to say he was successful. There is quite a strong draft Cuomo movement among the Dems.

As I recall Cuomo demanded 30,000 ventilators, and said publicly (paraphrased for memory) 'send all the ventilators you have to NY, and I will send them on to others who need them after we are finished with them'.


I remember him stating he needed 40,000 ventilators and wanted Trump to pick the people that would die if the Feds didn't send them.

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RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 2:39:01 PM   
Cap Mandrake


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I don't think FEMA even had the number of vents he wanted. Who did he think was going to intubate and take care of 40K ventilated patients?

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Post #: 5393
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 2:42:16 PM   
Cap Mandrake


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quote:

ORIGINAL: RangerJoe


quote:

ORIGINAL: Alfred


quote:

ORIGINAL: CaptBeefheart

... while they thought nobody was looking, they arrested a bunch of pro-democracy figures in Hong Kong last weekend...



You overlooked something else done last weekend. China has just created 2 new administrative districts in the Paracel and Spratly islands.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-04-20/vietnam-protests-beijings-expansion-in-disputed-south-china-sea/12165646

This action has far longer term ramifications than the Hong Kong arrests for it represents outright de facto annexation. It moves the South China Sea conflict from one over internationally disputed islands to one over established sovereign Chinese land. At least that is the legal narrative China will present to any legal challenge made under the Law of the Sea rules.

Alfred


It has already lost concerning the Spratley Islands:

International Court Issues Unanimous Award in Philippines v. China Case on South China Sea
The Court’s award is in the Philippines’ favor on most questions.

https://thediplomat.com/2016/07/international-court-issues-unanimous-award-in-philippines-v-china-case-on-south-china-sea/


The Chicoms told the International Court to pound sand...which is basically what happened. It's like the old WITP...20K supply, 3 CB units and in 2 weeks you have a 6000 ft concrete runway and two officer's clubs.

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RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 3:16:25 PM   
MakeeLearn


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The People's Liberation Army Daily , or PLA Daily for short, is the official newspaper of the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA).


http://english.pladaily.com.cn/

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RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 3:21:24 PM   
RFalvo69


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Stunning news here:

Kentucky sees highest spike in coronavirus cases after protests against lockdown

https://thehill.com/changing-america/well-being/prevention-cures/493707-kentucky-sees-highest-spike-in-coronavirus-cases?__twitter_impression=true

I wonder if the Coronavirus is indifferent or if it actually has a sense of humor.

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Post #: 5396
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 3:27:44 PM   
MakeeLearn


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quote:

ORIGINAL: RFalvo69

Stunning news here:

Kentucky sees highest spike in coronavirus cases after protests against lockdown

https://thehill.com/changing-america/well-being/prevention-cures/493707-kentucky-sees-highest-spike-in-coronavirus-cases?__twitter_impression=true

I wonder if the Coronavirus is indifferent or if it actually has a sense of humor.



Current as of April 20, 2020 at 5 p.m. Eastern time

Kentucky Coronavirus Monitoring
Number Tested: 32,820
Positive: 3,050
Deaths: 154

Note: Data includes confirmed cases of COVID-19 reported to KDPH.

https://govstatus.egov.com/kycovid19

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RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 3:40:49 PM   
MakeeLearn


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"I just don't know our denominator number, the number of actual cases, is reflective of what the community is seeing. It is just a small sample right now," said emergency room physician Dr. Ryan Stanton about the state's death rate. "I don't know the health of Kentucky is going to help us by any stretch of the imagination, but we also have an older population. People who have been dying are kind of critically ill. It's been getting into places such as nursing homes, long-term care facilities and among the elderly.""


"Kentucky ranks among the worst states for the percentage of residents with diabetes, high blood pressure, and obesity. An estimated 39.4% have high blood pressure, 36.6% are obese and about 13.7% have diabetes, according to the 2019 America's Health Rankings from United Health Foundation.

Nationally, the median is 32.2% with high blood pressure, 30.9% obese and 10.9% with diabetes."

https://www.wkyt.com/content/news/WKYT-Interactive--Kentuckys-COVID-19-death-rate-compared-to-neighboring-states--569418711.html

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Post #: 5398
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 3:49:38 PM   
MakeeLearn


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Couple are furious when told they’re not allowed to buy 552 CANS of Mountain Dew due to coronavirus rationing at Kroger store in Kentucky
20 March 2020

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8136527/Couple-furious-told-theyre-not-allowed-buy-TWENTY-THREE-cases-Mountain-Dew.html


"A couple visiting a supermarket in Louisville, Kentucky, on Tuesday attempted to purchase 23 cases of Mountain Dew

The man repeatedly shouted abuse at a worker as he tried to buy a total of 552 cans of the soft drink but was refused

The woman he was with stopped him from walking out with three boxes and slammed two of them on the cash register counter"



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Post #: 5399
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/21/2020 4:02:32 PM   
MakeeLearn


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Covid-19 — Navigating the Uncharted

Anthony S. Fauci, M.D., H. Clifford Lane, M.D., and Robert R. Redfield, M.D.


March 26, 2020
This editorial was published on February 28, 2020, at NEJM.org.
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMe2002387


"On the basis of a case definition requiring a diagnosis of pneumonia, the currently reported case fatality rate is approximately 2%.

In another article in the Journal, Guan et al.5 report mortality of 1.4% among 1099 patients with laboratory-confirmed Covid-19; these patients had a wide spectrum of disease severity.

If one assumes that the number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as high as the number of reported cases, the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1%.

This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%) or a pandemic influenza (similar to those in 1957 and 1968) rather than a disease similar to SARS or MERS, which have had case fatality rates of 9 to 10% and 36%, respectively."

"This editorial was published on February 28, 2020, at NEJM.org."

< Message edited by MakeeLearn -- 4/21/2020 4:05:54 PM >


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