From: The Zone™
A lot of folks with the head in the sand... I wish they were correct but if it's not the case, they are spreading false information... for some sordid reasons... and this might kill unaware people (the this is a flu ridiculous brigade)
Global mortality rate is around 3%. That's what WHO says. I personally think numbers or variables are necessarily unknown. In China and elsewhere. To get the mortality rate you need the correct number of infected. And to get that number you need to do tests aka who has the covid-19 errr Houston, we have a logistical problem here: not enough devices and personnel... aren't we missing lots of infected?
China = tens of thousands every single day
South Korea = 10.000 every single day
UK = 7.000 every single day
These are the countries' numbers that I do trust (no matter what the trolls might think) simply because they put the money where the mouth is.
I want to be optimistic. China was obviously overwhelmed + unpreparedness but in the end they did a massive job (that's what WHO says, so pay attention). Not sure their numbers describe reality though. It's South Korean numbers that might matter. These numbers suggest death rate is around 0,53%. Remember: massive daily tests (10.000 as per above).
Flu mortality rate is around 0,1%- 0,2%. What I am trying to say is that 2%-3% will be a very huge massacre if let's say 50% of humanity is infected. Spanish Flu 2.0 if not worse. A [SK] 0,53% is still deadlier than flu but we would be dodging a bullet imho.
I would love it even better if even SK numbers were incorrect, because they might still be missing more infected = mortality rate would be in fact lower than that 0,53%
Time will tell.
PS I'm also assuming the other variable (deaths) is accurate too.
PPS mortality rate will also depend on the healthcare system. The states with universal healthcare aka China, Europe, SK, Japan, Anzac, Canada are much better prepared. The rest (no healthcare worth that name + the poor states)... good luck...
< Message edited by TulliusDetritus -- 3/5/2020 4:18:40 PM >
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