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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/8/2020 3:52:13 PM   
cpdeyoung


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Status: offline 		November 13th, 1939

Baldwin Hanson, Military analyst, New York Tribune

Now to China where Japan, like her ally Germany, is running out of steam. The Chinese line is extensive, unbroken, and formidable. Japanese troops bloody themselves in vain.

Here is the map.





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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/9/2020 2:02:44 PM   
LarryBurstyn

 

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Status: offline 		Walter Cronknut, Chief Reporter CBS Radio News (Delayed Broadcast)
Edited Transcript

With the Hanoi railroad cut the French are unable to send help to the Chinese. Alternate methods are being examined.

The British Admiralty admitted today that the German raid on Liverpool was a Naval Disaster. Five new Carriers with all their planes were sunk, along with an unreleased number of Battleships, Cruisers and Destroyers. The British admitted that they had no ground troops guarding the city when the Germans landed. In response troops could be seen moving into all the cities on the coastlines of Britain. Aid to the Soviets continue unabated according to unnamed sources. It was reported that Churchill was so mad that he fired the Naval and Army Ministers...and other heads are expected to join them. An unidentified spokesman said that Churchill was heard to say that he cannot make all the decisions and must relie on others to think and act on things. Those that fail the British people will be replaced.

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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/10/2020 5:21:49 PM   
cpdeyoung


Posts: 5326
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Status: offline 		December 11th, 1939

Baldwin Hanson, Military analyst, New York Tribune

Bone chilling cold, and immense distances challenge the invader of Russia. It has been so for centuries. While the Germans never announced Moscow as their goal it was assumed to be one by everyone. This city remains firmly in Soviet hands. The front which stretches from Finland to the Crimea is desperately hard to man. In the west the Luftwaffe and Italian air force sank 21 Allied (RN, French and Soviet) subs but the cost in fuel is unsustainable. This is war on a scale that boggles the mind, and even more to come as America girds up for battle.

Here is the East Front.





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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/10/2020 5:35:23 PM   
cpdeyoung


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Baldwin Hanson, Military analyst, New York Tribune

In China tough resistance to Japanese aggression continues. China cannot help but hope that American belligerence will lead to intervention there.





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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/11/2020 11:26:10 AM   
BvB


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Joined: 10/7/2001
From: Pennsylvania
Status: offline 		Dec brought the worst losses yet for the Red Army. Still plenty of reserves but with less time to train their quality is going down. Note the quality of experience in some Axis units is lower than normal so hopefully they also are scraping the barrel to throw in to the Russian meat grinder. With the news from China not good we cannot draw much from Siberian troops if Japan turns on us...

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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/11/2020 12:26:00 PM   
cpdeyoung


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Baldwin Hanson, Military analyst, New York Tribune

There is news from the USSR that the quality of German troops is declining. There are denials from the higher offices but confirmation from many officers of the Heer. One commented to Swiss reporter that the once iron discipline imposed on the OKH by the Heimatkriegsgebiet has weakened. At the beginning of the conflict there were five stages, roughly a month long each that new recruits went through. If the level of training is quantified as 5-10-15-20-25 then troops were not introduced to combat until they were close to level 25. In 1939 this discipline eroded and the last training regime was removed allowing deployment at level 20. In late 1939, with increasing losses, replacement troops were sent to rear areas to Armee commands at as low as level 15. The Armees were under orders to continue training these troops but under combat conditions this mandate was sometimes violated. The Heimatkriegsgebiet is committed to working with OKH to institute an even more comprehensive rotation system including moving troops from quiet areas to more active ones.





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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/12/2020 2:06:53 PM   
cpdeyoung


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Baldwin Hanson, Military analyst, New York Tribune

A happy new year to all readers. On the Russian front the weather, and valiant Soviet defenders, have slowed the Germans to a crawl. The city of Voronezh has been captured, but otherwise all is quiet on the line.

In the west quiet times also. Our British allies are bombing German positions on the continent.

The East Front.





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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/12/2020 2:46:14 PM   
cpdeyoung


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Baldwin Hanson, Military analyst, New York Tribune

Japan continues her war with China. The United States Navy is carefully scouting out the far reaches of the Pacific. The Royal Navy is also showing a strong presence in these waters.





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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/13/2020 1:01:36 PM   
LarryBurstyn

 

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Status: offline 		Walter Cronknut, Chief Reporter CBS Radio News Delayed Broadcast
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French colonies continue to fight the good fight but no real news on ongoing operations if any?.

British Night Bombers raided a supply center in Germany. Damage was undisclosed. But supposedly hundreds of planes were involved. No actions were disclosed near the North Sea Patrol Line but that may be just a temporary lull. American built ASW PBY's search planes were seen near northern England. A daytime air raid on Brest in far western France took place also with hundreds of planes in mixed results. Lots of German Bf-109E's were destroyed but the RAF lost lots of Spitfire I's. German supply appears to be low so expect more raids on supply centers...of course the Germans are expected to put up extra defenses to protect these centers. British sources say that lots of engineers and their equipment were detected in recon photos taken at the same time as the night raid probably pre-placed there to repair any damage done to the supply center. Sources say that advanced technology have been deployed but exactly what these advances were was kept secret.

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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/13/2020 1:39:50 PM   
BvB


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From: Pennsylvania
Status: offline 		small local counter attacks in Russia destroyed the German 3rd and one other infantry division - small loss compared to the many Russian formations destroyed up until now...

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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/14/2020 2:46:58 PM   
BvB


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From: Pennsylvania
Status: offline 		Pravda reporter Starshi Serzshant Pivo Rebyonek: more minor attacks this time retook a town, then in the Moscow sector destroyed an arty unit along with battering the 8th Pz, an Inf Div & a KG. Practically no Axis activity means either real life rushed through turn or low fuel?
(I phonetically did the Russian from memory if anyone knows it better - back in the 80's I asked to go to language school for German, got sent for Russian, then asked to go to Germany and was sent to Korea, then took classes in Hangul) lol

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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/14/2020 3:18:29 PM   
ernieschwitz

 

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quote:

Practically no Axis activity means either real life rushed through turn or low fuel?


Well I was up chatting with him while he was doing his turn, and it took a real long time. That being said we never discussed his fuel situation :)

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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/14/2020 5:35:49 PM   
cpdeyoung


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Baldwin Hanson, Military analyst, New York Tribune

Speculation runs rampant across the world over the confusing situation on the East Front. Many of the rumors have some truth in them but this reporter believes he has a grasp of the matter now.

The Axis, Germany in this case, which seemed to have had great success, was troubled, as all parties in this great war are. Yes, fuel shortages played a part. High command had addressed the matter with a supply complex, and restrictions on high fuel consumption. Germany's fuel problem was one issue but not the cause of the matter. For a clue to the answer look to the death of General P. Badoglio in Bulgaria. His death was of natural causes, but his deep unhappiness at being taken from Italy was well known. The Bulgarians were equally unhappy at being under a foreign leader. Across the German Reich the policy of harsh treatment of captured populations, and exploitation of allies caused a break. Things just stopped working. Supplies dried up, transport slowed, the weather was harsh, and above all the two hard years of continuous, brutal war took its toll. Faced with a totally unexpected popular discontent the political leadership called for a stand down. Across all fronts attacks were halted, with the exception of skirmishes in Finland. A political council was held, not in Berlin, but in Prague, and there the issues of the allies were hashed out. New commitments on troop use were put in place. The radical attempts to increase German combat training by billeting in allied countries was abandoned.

The Prague conference, a summit of Germany, Italy and the allied states was welcomed with joy. There were elements in German society that troubled the world. These are in a state of reform now. The Axis, even far off Japan, have set the war aims more firmly in place. The division the world between super powers will be resisted.

This reporter wonders if the Germans have become lambs or bought sheepskin coats. Germany does not want to stop super powers from dominating. She only wants the Axis to share a place at the "super" table. The Germans were playing fast and loose with the transfer of troops and technical concerns bit her. It would be very foolish to imagine that Spring will not bring an onslaught.

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Post #: 103
RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/14/2020 6:39:21 PM   
cpdeyoung


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Baldwin Hanson, Military analyst, New York Tribune

In the far east Japan to push from north and south into central China. Chinese losses since January 1938 are well over 10,000 infantry formations. The war goes on, the people suffer.





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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/14/2020 6:52:41 PM   
LarryBurstyn

 

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Status: offline 		Walter Cronknut, Chief Reporter CBS Radio News Delayed Broadcast
Edited Transcript

French activity was non-existent...or very low key.

The British air attack on supply centers continued...A newly built supply center north of Frankfurt was bombed by British Warwick Night Bombers. Spokesman said that the installation suffered 25% damage--but that damage was expected to be quickly repaired. Rome also has been attacked by French Night Bombers doing minor damage. Malta was attacked again but no reports were released about damage done. The British have requested a meeting of all Allied nations to determine what the goals of this war should be...1) Britain wants France returned to French control. 2) German war capability destroyed 3) The other nations under German/Italian control free to pursue their own goals..

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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/16/2020 1:00:42 AM   
cpdeyoung


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Baldwin Hanson, Military analyst, New York Tribune

The Germans did return to war making. Some new programs to woo the captured nations have been instituted, but it remains to be seen if they really change anything. The Red Baltic Fleet took a beating from U-boats and air attacks. The Crimea has seen battle but Sevastopol has not seen any attacks. There are still powerful forces between the Germans and Moscow. The German are not budging the defenders.





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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/16/2020 1:09:40 AM   
cpdeyoung


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Baldwin Hanson, Military analyst, New York Tribune

China is in trouble. The Japanese took Chengtu, and are a real threat to other vital areas. Chunking itself is threatened. The Japanese did not supply us with a larger map this month, which may mean something.





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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/17/2020 2:30:42 PM   
cpdeyoung


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Baldwin Hanson, Military analyst, New York Tribune

A new front has opened up in the south of Russia. Indian troops coming up from Persia are meeting the Heer for the first time. The might of the British Empire coming to the aid of the Soviets. The Germans are surely interested in the oil of the Caucasus.

Note this map arrived in the States in a garbled form, and was re-censored at the German embassy.




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< Message edited by cpdeyoung -- 2/17/2020 2:32:35 PM >

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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/17/2020 3:06:50 PM   
cpdeyoung


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Baldwin Hanson, Military analyst, New York Tribune

Meanwhile the Japanese were requested by the German embassy to remind the Soviet Union that their far eastern territories were, perhaps, under defended. The Germans want the USSR to pull units from Europe to Asia. The Japanese seem in no hurry to start an actual war. As the war in China takes on a new aspect the Japanese will be able to contemplate new directions. For now Japan seems content, and anxious to digest Chinese gains.





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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/17/2020 3:35:13 PM   
cpdeyoung


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Baldwin Hanson, Military analyst, New York Tribune

The Japanese forces were not executing as crisply as they would like but still the Wuhan mines fell. There is little the Chinese can do unless the Allies enter the war against Japan, and even then it may be too late to save the Chinese. But the Chinese are not yet done, and they have fought very well. The Japanese chose to build the forces the Army wanted. The Navy had another agenda, and it may have been neglected. The many Indian divisions in the Caucasus show the British have not been neglecting India. The vast distances of Siberia, and the potency of the Soviets are a challenge. Japan has never faced top grade European style tanks.

Above all is the question of the American intentions. This would be a wholly different war. Naval and airpower will play a large role. The Royal Navy and the USN are surely more than the Japanese can handle. Japan's position is not enviable.





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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/17/2020 5:33:37 PM   
BvB


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Status: offline 		local counter attacks in front of Moscow caused the complete destruction of the German 8th & 9th Arty, 30th Inf and 3rd Pz Divs. Still, not enough to stop the Axis masses. Encouraged at seeing some units with experience as low as 5 suggest Axis manpower hurting, but likely this is too little too late to change the ultimate outcome. Salute.

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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/17/2020 5:57:31 PM   
ernieschwitz

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: BvB
local counter attacks in front of Moscow caused the complete destruction of the German 8th & 9th Arty, 30th Inf and 3rd Pz Divs. Still, not enough to stop the Axis masses. Encouraged at seeing some units with experience as low as 5 suggest Axis manpower hurting, but likely this is too little too late to change the ultimate outcome. Salute.


Time for Stalin to ask/demand a 2nd front from the Western Allies, I think :)

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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/17/2020 6:16:19 PM   
cpdeyoung


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Baldwin Hanson, Military analyst, New York Tribune

Soviet reports of the Axis losses are encouraging. We agree with the Soviet commanders that the Axis has been rushing troops to the front without proper training. For the cause we probably need look no further than the length of the enormous front. To cover a front of this size requires so much manpower that the training regime has been short circuited. German ambition is the cause of this problem. Opening up the Fall Blau offensive in the Caucasus was supposed to be a war winning move. It would stretch the Soviet lines so severely that counter attacks would lessen. The Germans knew Persia was held by the Allies but did not think the Indian troops were already prepared to counter the German offensive. This strategic misstep will make the East Front a nightmare for the Heer. The end for Germany will not be a happy one. When our American troops hit like a hammer the blow will shake Berlin.

Germany should not have started this conflict. She should have accepted her place in Europe, and let the superpowers rise. She simply does not have the resources to win against the coalition the Allies have forged. The coming duopoly will be harder on Germany than if it had come about peacefully. The USA and USSR will dominate the world for the next 75 years.

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Post #: 113
RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/17/2020 6:17:56 PM   
cpdeyoung


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Baldwin Hanson, Military analyst, New York Tribune

We have heard rumors of a brutal offensive against Denmark. They may not have any substance.

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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/19/2020 4:15:40 PM   
cpdeyoung


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Baldwin Hanson, Military analyst, New York Tribune

The Germans must have new censors. Here we have a map of what the Germans see when they look to the center front. Moscow has tantalized them for quite a while, but they are far from success here. The sturdy defenders are bolstered by a lot of concrete, but the Soviets have been active with counter-attacks here too.





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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/19/2020 5:34:45 PM   
cpdeyoung


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Baldwin Hanson, Military analyst, New York Tribune

Turning to the south, we see that the new German front has already stalled. British Commonwealth troops are flooding the Caucasus. Germany does not have the deep pockets of her enemies. The immense productivity of the United States is joining her Allies. American arms are appearing on every front.





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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/19/2020 6:27:28 PM   
cpdeyoung


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Baldwin Hanson, Military analyst, New York Tribune

Very sad news for China. The fall of the Chungking mines ushers in a period of decline for her active troops.





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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/21/2020 4:26:01 PM   
cpdeyoung


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Baldwin Hanson, Military analyst, New York Tribune

The southern front is where the action is. Troops from the British Commonwealth will be defending the Caucasus as the Soviets have a very long way on exterior lines to get there. We would not be surprised to see American troops fighting here. Any German moves further south will dangerously overextend their lines, already ridiculously long.





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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/21/2020 4:58:40 PM   
cpdeyoung


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Baldwin Hanson, Military analyst, New York Tribune

There are still many brave Chinese ready to defend their country. Chungking city is full of horses, and, well, you know what comes from horses. Life there is miserable, but the Chinese have endured for quite a while.





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RE: GD1938 v.3 BBLC - 2/22/2020 4:42:04 PM   
BvB


Posts: 180
Joined: 10/7/2001
From: Pennsylvania
Status: offline 		due to a shortage of vodka in Stalingrad, a relief column broke through to issue more to the troops, but likely next month will still see the city fall...
In other news, I'll be away on an annual Civil War trip 1-5 March. We usually rent a cabin on a start park that sometimes has no cell or internet. We go see battlefields by day then at night do head to head wargames, so I might not get any turns done in that time frame. Salute

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