From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
12/12/44 to 12/19/44
A lot of important moving parts but mostly off the front lines, so here's a quick summary.
China: The Western Allied army has moved in strength to block the good road into China from Indochina. Dave has a large army in the contested hex and the Vietnamese city a hex to the "west." I don't think he can break through. Allied supply landed at Kwangchowan seems to be filtering through the hexes into China, giving me some supply issues. DS will return with supply in perhaps a week. Until then, the Allies will maintain the defensive posture.
Singapore: Vanguard of the Allied army is now arriving at Johore Bharu. Dave has a bunch of divisions at Singers - perhaps five. I bet forts are high. And supply is high enough that he brought in some strike aircraft today. It hit a retiring empties TF, sinking ten small craft, an xAP, and a DD (but he lost nearly 2x points in planes). This will be a long, tough siege. Reinforcements are coming from Palembang to Mersing, which Sparrow Battalion took. These troops are 100% prepped and include two divisions.
Rangoon: Allied army has attacked twice, achieving 2:1 odds once and then 1:1 odds, dropping forts from 6 to 4. This base will fall before the end of the year.
DS & Triage Herd: The intricate and modestly risky exchange of inbounds and outbounds took place east of Singers, a few hexes. Nearly all of the outbounds (empties and triage) are now well on their way to Singers (except that one LCI-type TF that got whacked by Singers aircraft). The inbounds are mostly supply TFs plus some reinforcing carriers. DS will cover additional landings at Mersing and then will return to Hainan Island vicinity.
Summary: The Allied armies in Burma and Malaya will handle their goals (Rangoon: short term; Singapore: long term) and then move into Thailand and Indochina to take care of things there. A sizeable Japanese army is "trapped" in Indochina. The Allies have a strong blocking position on the road in China. The Allied army there will maintain that position. Reinforcements coming into China will move east, threating the Japanese MLR. The Allies lead 54k to 37k, so need about 20k for victory. I think AV will happen in the first six months of 1945.