Here are some interesting numbers. Unfortunately, I copied these from another site which was unsourced But it gives the idea of what would have been lost by Russia if the US stayed out.
1941: 360,778t, of which 13,502t Persian Gulf, 193,229t Soviet Far East, 153,977t North Russia.
1942: 2,453,097t of which 705,259t Persian Gulf, 734,020 Soviet Far East, 949,711 North Russia, 64,107 Soviet Artic.
1943: 4,794,545t of which 1,606,979 Persian Gulf, 2,388,577 Soviet Far East, 681,043 North Russia, 117,946 Soviet Artic.
1944: 6,217,622t of which 1,788,864 Persian Gulf, 2,848,181 Soviet Far East, 1,452,775 North Russia, 127,802 Soviet Artic.
1945 3,673,819t (last shipments 20 Sept) of which: 44,513 Persian Gulf, 2,079,320 Soviet Far East, 726,725 North Russia, 680,723 Black Sea, 142,538 Soviet Artic.
So by the end of '42. Approximately 2.7 Mt of aid was supplied. 75% was support, i.e. food, etc., the rest war goods.
The issue is that Russia had a major food shortage in '42/'43. So with the US aid, the army would have dropped since they knew their families would be starving.
You are correct in that '42 would have been the tipping point without US aid.
But '43 could have been even worse since there likely would not have been a winter offensive or one that was no where near as successful by Russia. Since a lot of the food basket of Russia was still in German hands.
Even if the US entered the war in '42, it still would have taken another year to get lend lease ramped up to where it was making a difference.
But the US would not have gone to war just to save Russia is my view. Only if the UK was successfully invaded would the US enter. If Russia fell, then it is likely that the world would have gone back to peace.
Again I just do not see the US getting involved with out direct provocation. Which is something the Germans at least wanted to avoid at all costs. Of course Japan had to screw it all up
So I just do not see any reason for the game to allow a US entry before December '41. If nothing up to that point in the war had got them in, then I just do not see anything past that point happening to get them to pull the trigger (pun intended
) on going to war.
< Message edited by Numdydar -- 11/23/2016 1:31:20 PM >