they would sink CVBG's with small subs (germany) as they had demonstrated this capability again and again in exercises in the 80ies and 90ies. the french cvbg would strike targets towards the baltic and not venture into open sea (in range of subs and aircraft, also cvbg).
in the end all us cvbg's and ships sink, most aircraft venturing too close to mainland europe will be shot down by sams. any convoy going from and to poland will be slaughtered.
and i do not think russia will sit this one out, they will defend the baltic vigorously.
larry bond book is flawed in many ways...
One equal temper of heroic hearts,
Made weak by time and fate, but strong in will
To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.