From: Miami Beach
I'll try not to write a wall. Again, this is what makes this such an awesome game! Players can disagree and prove their points on the battlefield...maybe some day we will? Fredrickshaven is just one tiny little thing, and there are many of them. Over at the WiF list there are HUGE debates.
Reacting to moves being a small victory...very small in the case of Fredrickshaven, although the CW can make it a bigger issue the greater risk THEY decide to take in the Baltic, and also having a weaker defense globaly. Think about where else CW could place those MIL. The Axis need to be looking around the map for weaknesses. Early in the game if CW has 2 MIL there, then they are at risk elsewhere.
If I were to send one, lets say two "R" class BB's into the Baltic(not a bad choice to send two of those) I would select only the Royal Sov. and the Barham(I know, not "R" class, but the other "R" class are slightly better). In 1939 they would only make the 2 box and are unlikely to do any damage. More likely the French Subs would.
You are assuming CW has more luck than Germany. Lets say its N/D'39 and the CW BB's are in the '3' box having moved there from Fred. The Germans probably will have the Hipper, Blucher, and Deutschland in the '4' box, Schleswig-H in the '1' box, and the Schlesien in the '0' box with the cp's. Depending on weather...in fair both CW and Germany need a '4' to find each other, '3' in rain, '2' in storm or blizzard for CW('3' for Germany)...but if only CW finds they need at least 4 surprise points to do anything since Germany will have air in the zero box. Chances are that neither side will find each other in the typically short N/D, J/F turns.
ORIGINAL: brian brian
when the enemy is reacting to your moves, that is in itself a small victory. I would gladly risk a couple UK MIL and perhaps an "R" class BB or two for several German CPs and any of the excellent German SCS you can damage, when they will most likely never be repaired, particularly if you have had some luck hunting for the ore convoys. If you are fighting them in the Baltic, they can't be out raiding in the Atlantic. I wouldn't burn through too many CW assets to do this though, but there is more to it than just the BP calculations, and I think it is worth some small risks. Playing with or without Defensive Shore Bombardment is an important part of the decision too. As the Germans, I just simply don't give the CW this option without them tangling with a powerful corps in Frederikshavn.
Conflict with the unexpected: two qualities are indispensable; first, an intellect which, even in the midst of this obscurity, is not without some traces of inner light which lead to the truth; second, the courage to follow this faint light. KvC