From: the bridge of the DNTK Kitakami
December 10th, 1941:
Watching last turn's combat replay was an exercise in intestinal fortitude. I think I may have made a mistake (putting a surface combat TF on react, and thus losing most of it), but the rest was by the book... I think. Unfortunately, John is one of those that wrote the book, and thus ship losses were high. Anyway...
Ok... I have had the turn since yesterday, but this week is being rather heavy with work-related stuff. Here are a few thoughts to get the discussion going:
1. At the beginning of turn four, the following bases are short (of double monthly requirements) on supply:
--- Portland Supply Short 1956
--- Seattle Supply Short 9186
--- Tacoma Supply Short 6168
--- Bacolod Supply Short 93
--- Iloilo Supply Short 40
--- Tacloban Supply Short 87
--- Victoria Supply Short 8602
--- Changsha Supply Short 2146
--- Chengchow Supply Short 960
--- Nanyang Supply Short 1145
--- Sining Supply Short 898
--- Tsiaotso Supply Short 2914
--- Alameda Supply Short 258
--- Pingsiang Supply Short 711
--- Ankang Supply Short 171
That is 4 more bases than the previous turn. The new ones are Portland, Bacolod, Iloilo, and Tacloban. I do not mind the Philippines being low in supply that much, as all those bases will be lost, but Seattle, Tacome, Victoria, and Alameda actually have a GREATER supply shortfall this turn than last one. I will need to twink repairs in the Americas to remedy that.
In China the supply situation seems to be somewhat stable. Not that it is good, but at least it is not deteriorating... yet.
2. At the beginning of turn four, the following industries lack raw materials:
--- Rangoon, oil for refinery Short 1840
--- Melbourne, oil for refinery Short 330
--- Komsomolsk, oil for refinery Short 800
--- Hong Kong, resources for HI Short 4375
--- Bombay, resources for HI Short 6146
--- Calcutta, resources for HI Short 10916
--- Winnipeg, resources for HI Short 1798
--- Chungking, resources for HI Short 4766
--- Kunming, resources for HI Short 1876
--- San Francisco, resources for LI Short 1142
--- Hong Kong, resources for LI Short 4375
--- Bombay, resources for LI Short 6146
--- Calcutta, resources for LI Short 10916
--- Delhi, resources for LI Short 173
--- Hyderabad, resources for LI Short 271
--- Melbourne, resources for LI Short 9820
--- Perth, resources for LI Short 1567
--- Sydney, resources for LI Short 20127
--- Winnipeg, resources for LI Short 1798
--- Batavia, resources for LI Short 910
--- Balikpapan, resources for LI Short 375
--- Kwangchowan, resources for LI Short 128
--- Soviet Union, resources for LI Short 12604
Rangoon lacking oil is a new one. India has improved slightly, which probably means it will be OK in the long run. China imporved slightly (though that ought to be temporary... John has not attacked yet). Soviet Union improved. The DEI stable. All in all, it will take time, and while that time passes, Japan will have a (mostly) free hand.
3. I lost Guam, Camiguin, Miri, Nauru Island, and Ocean Island last turn. I need to check if I have 4E bombers to attack Miri's oilfields. Also, Mersing was invaded by 16k troops, and the paratroopers were dropped in Malacca. Neither fell, and I have a chance to retake Malacca, but if I loose Mersing quickly, Singapore will fall early.
4. The following ships were lost last turn. To sum it up, it was BAD.
--- BB Mississippi sank due to the fires and floating damage.
--- CL Boise reacted against BCs... she did not have a chance!
--- DD Scout, Thanet made it as far as Borneo. Then they were caught and sunk.
--- AS Otus.
--- AVP Heron, Bellatrix.
--- AM Finch, Bittern, Quatsino.
--- PG Tulsa.
--- SS Seal, Spearfish, Sealion.
--- ARD Dewey.
--- ACM Colonel Harrison.
--- HDML P1, P2, P3.
--- TK Aletta, Britannia.
--- xAP Don Esteban, Legaspi, Candioa (could the real name be Candida?).
--- xAK Howra, Nanning, Tantalus, Talthibius, Hai Lee, Governor Wright, Si Kiang.
--- xAKL Lipis, Cebu, Lepus, Magallanes, Mauban, Montanes, Surigao, Colambugan, Princess of Cebu, Princess of Negros.
The Boise will be missed. So will the 2x HMS DDs be. The AS I'd have preferred to save. The others I can live without, I think.
5. According to Tracker, these were the plane losses for the turn:
--- B5N2 Kate 54
--- P-40E Warhawk 12
--- P-40B Warhawk 8
--- A6M2 Zero 6
--- P-36A Mohawk 5
--- F2A-3 Buffalo 4
--- SOC-1 Seagull 4
--- E13A1 Jake 3
--- B17-E Fortress 2
--- Ki-57-I Topsy 2
--- Do-24K-1 1
--- D3A1 Val 1
--- L3Y2 Tina 1
--- Ki-21-IIa Sally 1
--- Ki-27b Nate 1
--- Ki-30 Ann 1
Total losses for the turn are reported as 70 Japanese for 36 Allied. I wonder what repots John is getting, and what the truth really is :)
6. Turn 3 saw a net loss of 657 VP.
These are the things that worry me:
A. KB is still 7 hexes NE of Pearl. Subs and 4E bombers will seek them, but I have no hopes. I moved the Buffaloes from Wake and Midway to Pearl, which helped with air defense last turn, but I am fighting a losing battle.
Having said that, this is what I have ready right now:
--- F2a-3 Buffalo 14
--- F4F-3 Wildcat 11
--- P-26A _______ 5
--- P-36A Mohawk_ 12
--- P-40B Warhawk 48
--- SNJ-3 Texan__ 2
I need to get more fighters there, but I can't ship more squadrons in until KB leaves. Until then, all I can do is reinforce current squadrons with the small number of planes that I can trickle in.
B. Mersing was invaded, but the Aussies are doing their job. They will fall, but I need them to last 3-4 days at least. I am not sure if they will be able to, though.
C. The 1st Raiding Rgt (para) was dropped in Malacca. They did not take the base, fortunately. All I have there is a pair of Inf Bns, I hope they can hold until I get something heftier there.
D. John is making an early move against Wuchow, and there is not much I can do about it. We will see if I can reinforce or not.
Any and all opinions welcome!
Tenno Heika Banzai!