War Drums Beating in Syria

[leemiller24]

Does anyone have any good scenarios or know of any that are leading up to the current issue in Syria? With the deployment of US cruise missile capable boats in the area and the deployment of another CVN (possibly one already there) there are a lot of potential for things to go sideways.

Just a thought.. any scenarios would be nice-- thanks!

[Sharana]

I think there was NATO vs Russia scenario from 2016, not much changed.

Right now there is no carrier in range and won't be for a week at least. The chances for fight between US and RU is slim, so just shooting cruise missiles against infrastructure isn't very "fun" in terms of CMANO

[thewood1]

You don't need a CVN for it to happen. The US has a lot of assets already in the area. Probably more usable assets than Syria and Russia. Not sure there is a will to use them with the British and French seeming like they will get involved.

[leemiller24]

Currently just a lot of words being thrown back and forth- verbal diplomacy if you will... and assets... no doubt there is a bunch of assets that can be pulled in quickly without a CVN on station. Does Russia still have the SU57, Fullbacks and the S400 battery there? I would be willing to bet the US/Allies have been monitoring those units closely if so. (again- it's just conjecture at this point- but isnt much of the scenarios conjecture as well?)

It appears to be the potential for setting up a confrontation involving some new technology from the US and Russia- again just a thought.

[Sharana]

Su-57 were there for just 2 days, everything else is still there with minimal change. Both A-50s were flying the other day. If they got something more the last days we still can't know until another wave of sat. images pops up.

[Dysta]

I don't know, maybe few waves of missiles exchange to wear down both sides' launchers before their Air Forces jump in.

[leemiller24]

Does the A50 have ELINT capability too? I understand the 57 doesn't currently have the full capability (as far as powerplant) to operate in full capacity.


That would also make great tools in a scenario.

[Sharana]

It does, but there are also other ELINT platforms avalible. Su-57 is prototype and is not available asset in order to be taken into consideration.

[leemiller24]

In CMANO or actual operational?

[Sharana]

In actual events and in CMANO as long as you aim to maintain realism instead of "what if" and "2020+ scenario".

[BeirutDude]

Personally, I’m partial to Mediterranean Tsunami 2019 in the Community Pack! [:D]

[Excroat3]

Well, it's on now.

Airstrikes on airports in Damascus and videos of Syrian SAMs being launched are all over the news. France and UK are also involved.

[mikeCK]

Seems to have been pretty limited. It’s already over absent a few clean ups later

[Dysta]

The more SAM the SGA launched, the more we can say they got Russian and Iranian weapon aids.

[Lowlaner2012]

100 tomahawks fired, I wander how many got shot down....

These are messed up times, does anybody have any ideas or hunches on how Russia will respond? Maybe a strike on USS Donald cook???

If yess we would be on the way to WW3.... scary!!!!

[strykerpsg]

ORIGINAL: Lowlaner2012

100 tomahawks fired, I wander how many got shot down....

These are messed up times, does anybody have any ideas or hunches on how Russia will respond? Maybe a strike on USS Donald cook???

If yess we would be on the way to WW3.... scary!!!!

Nothing scary about suppressing a dictator that defies world views and law regarding chemical warfare. JASSMs were also used, launched from B-1's, and were most likely the stealth piece allowing the less stealth Tomahawks afterwards.

I highly doubt Russia would be so bold as to target an actual warship because it's then "Game On" to the next level. I would suspect that since we have conducted an Allied strike involving France and UK, that Russia will need to decide if vilifying 3 EU and 3 voting members of the UN would not bode well for them in the future. Though China has stated support of Russia should anything happen to NK, not so sure they would back them in attacking 3 powers armed with nuclear weapons and robust expeditionary forces. Not to mention, the economic impact of Russia and/or China doing anything against the 3. It was a precision strike, purposely avoiding Russian forces.

[Dysta]

Indeed. They both want to save their faces given by the disastrous and uncontrollable outcome if both sides are met with end of pikes. Russia let US-ally air striking some non-critical assets while Russia helps Syria with limited interception to protect the airport. Syria should be thankful that it didn't get any worse.

[Lowlaner2012]

Your probably right, been playing to much command

[Dysta]

Another tweet at morning in Syria, people aren't too impressed with the air strike and back to business:

https://mobile.twitter.com/LizSly/statu ... 9078957057

[Filitch]

Losses and expenditures

As evident by the available data, 103 cruise missiles have been launched, including Tomahawk naval-based missiles as well as GBU-38 guided air bombs fired from the B-1B; the F-15 and F-16 aircraft launched air-to-surface missiles.

The Tornado airplanes of the UK RAF launched eight Scalp EG missiles.

The Syrian air defence systems, which are primarily the USSR-made AD systems, have successfully countered the air and naval strikes.

In total, 71 cruise missiles have been intercepted. The S-125, S-200, Buk, Kvadrat, and Osa Syrian AD systems were involved in repelling the attack.

The strike targeted Syrian air bases as well. Russia has registered the following data.

Four missiles targeted the Damascus International Airport; 12 missiles – the Al-Dumayr airdrome, all the missiles have been shot down.

18 missiles targeted the Blai airdrome, all the missiles shot down.

12 missiles targeted the Shayrat air base, all the missiles shot down. Air bases were not affected by the strike.

Five out of nine missiles were shot down targeting the unoccupied Mazzeh airdrome.

Thirteen out of sixteen missiles were shot down targeting the Homs airdrome. There are no heavy destructions.

In total 30 missiles targeted facilities near Barzah and Jaramana. Seven of them have been shot down. These facilities allegedly relating to the so-called “Damascus military chemical programme” were partially destructed. However, the objects have not been used for a long time, so there were no people and equipment there.

http://eng.mil.ru/en/news_page/country/ ... d=12171300