-- hypothetic PLA invasion of Taiwan, 2016
Date: August 19-31, 2016
Location: Taiwan, Penghu, Kinmen, Matzu.
Map Scale: 2.5 Km per hex
Time Scale: 1/2 day per turn
Unit Scale: Battalion/Company
Length: 24 turns
Human player: PRChina or both sides.
People's Liberation Army(PLA): Red on Yellow
People's Liberation Army Navy(PLAN): Blue on Yellow
People's Liberation Army Air Force(PLAAF): Gray on Yellow
People's Liberation Army Rocket Force(PLARF): Yellow on Yellow
China Armed Police Forces(CAPF): Tan on Yellow
ROC National Army(ROCNA): Blue on Blue
ROC Navy(ROCN): Black on Blue
ROC Air Force(ROCAF): White on Blue
ROC General Staff controlled forces(MP, Anti-air artillery command): Scarlet on Blue
ROC Police Security: Blue on White
Two decades have passed since the first Taiwan Strait Crisis, but mainland China never stops its military modernization progress. With ROC National Army continues downsizing its army, the threat of an invasion is more and more realistic. Nowadays Taiwan has abandoned the idea of defeating a PRC invasion, on the contrary she emphasizes on its "scaring off" strategy, which means to inflict "enough damage" to the PLA landing forces, thus "scare" the PRC administration from ever have the idea to do so.
So will the PRC be scared? How long will Taiwan last, and how much casualties will she inflict to PLA invading forces with or without help from the United States?
In this scenario 5 PLA armies (1st, 12th, 31st, 41st, 42nd) will participate in the invasion against 3 ROCNA army corps (VI, VIII, X Army Corps), with overwhelming quality and quantity advantage. However, PLA forces are heavily hindered by its sea-lifting capability, which will further decrease as the scenario goes.
The time limit is set to 12 days(24 turns), without US intervention. Taiwan is on its own now.
PLA air and sea lifting capabilities will significantly drop by half in turn 2, as it takes merely 24 hours for a tour crossing the strait. They will further decrease in the coming turns due to losses.
PLA morale will fall down if the promised "blitzkrieg" ends up with a long, bloody combat.
US will not directly go into the conflict, instead she will provide satellite reconnaissance support from day 2.
scenario by Nikolai Ezhov
map from 2015 - (What if?) - Taiwan by Piero Falotti
< Message edited by NikolaiEzhov -- 11/30/2016 3:38:10 PM >
Proletariat of the world, unite!