From: Iowan in MD/DC
Well, let me put it this way. The Allies are going to win the war, assuming it's a match between equals. For most players, that's all they care about; all they look at; all they consider.
Whether the Allies are going to win the game is another matter entirely. For those few who pay attention to the game and victory points, victory is probably a toss-up and the calendar is relentless for both sides (the Japanese early, the Allies late).
I'm not at all sure that those who care about VPs and the game design are in the minority.
And Japan, while it has to care about the calendar, can with by simply not losing. The Allies have to have an auto-victory to win, and that has a date system imposed.
And I think the "earning a draw" point is about 6 months too far in the Allies' favor, having played 3 PBEM games into 1945 now (well, 3 when this one gets there, but close enough).