Back to Pelton/MT AAR. For the first time (?? correct ???) the issue of the return of injured soldiers to active duty was discussed. Pelton's whole point to the discussion (from my understanding of it) was that German casualties were not reflective of the real situation- casualties would return at a rate of 1 % of the total disabled pool. So in effect, they would eventually all return.
Pelton's partially correct, but more wrong. At a 1 % replacement, not all disabled will return. If 10,000 Germans are diabled on turn #1, only 4,000 will have returned by the 50 th turn, 6900 by the 100th turn, and 8000 by the 150 th turn !!!
And MT's frustration that the Soviet has only a 0.5% will intensify because a 0.5% return per turn is essentially zippo in light of their great total manpower.
It's like a busines's cash flow. It's nice to be owed money, but it's better to have it in the bank. You will not collect all $$'s from your debtors
I think there is a little more math in that forum, JB was better at explaining then me.
1% of the total pool per turn, not 1% of the dudes from turn 1. You can't simply look at a single turn.
by turn 130 your looking at 18,000 returning PLUS the normal 15,000 or 32,000 new replasements per turn by 1943.
So manpower numbers fall for GHC by Jan 1943, but men returning from the pool is pumping up numbers.
GHC manpower realy is increasing every single yr. 1941 -45.
< Message edited by Pelton -- 5/13/2013 8:04:14 PM >
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