I keep being amazed by Saper's play, it's brilliant. He probably can't pull off that pinching move around Moscow, but if he did... It's a PBEM against a veteran Russian player, and yet he's almost gotten to Stalingrad by October 41. He should be in bad supply so far ahead for the rail heads, but the present logistics model obviously remains pretty generous.
I don't think he'll pull off the pinching move either. Mainly because on T16 he made a full frontal attack on Moscow and advance 3 hexes, cutting off some more of my units. I'll be posting screen shots shortly. However, Saper has already pulled off the pinching move against Moscow in two previous AAR games against experienced Russian players.
Harry, without trying to be disillusioning, but the next 6 turns are going to be a pain. Perhaps you were just too unlucky with your rolls in the first 8 turns, but the situation looks very scary. Might be you'd better evacuate Moscow slowly to strengthen your flanks, else it is a va-banque gambit? I don't see so much else you can still do. Now would be the time where those extra divisions would be really needed that lack to complete the historical reinforcements.
I don't think I have necessarily been unlucky in this game, though a few extra helds (especially one critical one this last turn) would have helped. I will not evacuate Moscow, well at least not yet.