Hooper, you are playing a very dangerous game. It all depends really on how your opponent reacts. I have a very simple rule as the Axis player, a rule that shows my bias to attack rather then encirlement. The rule is I win every time my landsers launch a deliberate attack. A corollary to that rule is that I win even more if the soviet target is not entrenched and in good terrian. Why do I win? In my view the soviets cannot, in 1941, stand up to 30 or 40 or more deliberate attacks on their forces and this goes double in the clear.
In the center and especially in the south, it looks to me like you have 20 or more divisions ripe for being deliberately attacked. While I think you are not in danger of encirclement as the panzers look out of gas, you may open a turn and see 30 routed soviet units. While the soviet can take a beating, if you subject your army to this at this time and do it again and again you risk collaspe at the end of the campaign season.
In 1941, any turn the soviet does not retreat 3 or 4 hexes to create alittle space designed to protect him from the full fury of landser deliberate attack power, the soviet is taking a risk. Sometimes it can be worth it, sometimes not. That I think is the challenge of being the soviet......how long to keep your head in the tiger's mouth. In my view, starting your turn next to german infantry is a decision of grave importance.