An update, seven-and-a-half weeks after the start of hostilities: the maps are self-explanatory but, in a nutshell -
* on the Central Front Russian and Belorussian forces have taken Berlin, causing the Germans to surrender: this leaves the French and British to make a stand along the Elbe, supported by the Dutch and Belgians, and the solitary US corps still stationed in Europe.
* NATO's position in the Balkans has pretty much collapsed: Rumania, Bulgaria, Hungary and most of the smaller countries have surrendered, Russian and Ukrainian units have reached the Adriatic and Istanbul, and Italy and Greece are left to hold the northern and southern flanks respectively.
* A small joint Arab League force has entered southern Portugal and Spain: whether they're strong enough to drive on Lisbon and Madrid is a moot point. Most of the North African Arab units are holding the southern Mediterranean ports, where NATO has launched a series of - so far unsuccessful - amphibious invasions.
* Israel is being contained by the Egyptians, Jordanians and the Syrian's southern corps. Although the raw numbers give the impression that the latter are much stronger, their proficiencies and supply is far lower than the Israelis'. An all-out attack over several weeks will see the Arab strength dropping far more quickly than Israel's, leading to the possibility of a damaging counter-attack. The Lebanon surrendered in the first week and Beruit is now garrisoned by Hizbollah, stiffened by Syrian special forces and helicopters
* In Anatolian Turkey the Russians, Armenians and Azerbaijanis are pushing towards Ankara, with the Syrian's northern corps creeping along the south coast road. Large numbers of Turkish troops are still active, but may surrender if Ankara falls
* The Iraqis, supported by a US corps, still hold all the key cities. Martin hasn't chosen the TO to move the US corps in Afghanistan back to the Gulf (it costs VPs)
The Russians are moving, slowly, down the coast of Norway: the terrain is very difficult, and an initial amphibious landing at Bergen was contained and eliminated.
It should be noted that despite the speed and depth of the Russian advance, this still counts as a draw in terms of the overall scenario, which requires the occupation of most of western and central Europe for an outright victory. I've avoided declaring war on any other the major neutrals - Switzerland, Austria, Finland or Sweden - as I have to balance the potential VPs with the impact of their not inconsiderable forces entering on NATO's side. Austria at least is now looking vunerable.