M60A3TTS
Posts: 1689
Joined: 5/13/2011 Status: offline

My recent shortage of arms production got me looking into how exactly is production calculated and in doing my research came across this thread. http://www.matrixgames.com/forums/tm.asp?m=2945409 In that thread, gradenko_2000 pointed out something interesting related to applying the arms multiplier of 1.3 as compared to the old 2.0. One would have thought that under the old arms calculation if you got a total of X production in 1941, then you got 2X production from 19421945 and you would be correct. You would then conclude that with a multiplier of 1.3, you would get 1.3X in 19421945. You would be incorrect. Why is that? If you understand the details of the above thread, the multiplier is applied to each factory with any fraction/decimal point dropped. So if you have an arms factory with a size of 3, and multiply by 1.3, you get 3.9. Drop the decimal and you're still left with 3. In other words, any Soviet factories, size 1, 2 or 3 never increase their output in the duration of the war. Now if the multiplier had been set to 1.4, then it would calculate out to 3 x 1.4 = 4.2. Drop the decimal and you would get 4, an increase of 33%. How does that effect things? Fully 63% of Soviet arms factories (49 of 78) are size 13, meaning that almost 2/3 of the Soviet arms factories will never produce more during the entire game, multiplier or no. If you're into numbers and calculate out if every arms factory got out and based on their individual size, your 370 starting factories would be valued at 426 with the 1.3 multiplier against all factories. That is an increase of 16.4% And that is roughly what you get regardless of the factories you lose. So you shouldn't think of Soviet arms production growing by 30% in 19421945, it's really closer to half that. Too bad they didn't make the multiplier 1.4. There are 34 size 3 factories that would increase to a value of 4 each, if that was the case (3 x 1.4 = 4.2, decimal drop to 4) That would add another 8,500 tons of arms per week, if you actually got them all out. Something to think about.
< Message edited by M60A3TTS  7/20/2012 9:29:48 PM >
