From: Living in the fair city of Melbourne, Australia
I am giving some preliminary consideration to a project I may or may not undertake at some point. (Time is limited right now unfortunately).
With the hindsight of history in WITE terms, which side does the community think can exceed historical performance? (Meaning, will the Germans generally be able to advance further and/or can the Russians both hold the Germans to less than historical gains and make it into Berlin before historical?).
Obviously, any game is going to be one way or the other, which it likely should be since after the start of the game, we are not following history anymore.
I don't have myself a definite answer to your question, since there's a big problem with the GC victory conditions only considering the final outcome of the campaign when rating performance, and basically ignoring everything that has gone in the middle (such as losses).
I'd say the German side is the one with the best bet for that, though this I think might seem controversial. The reasons for me answering this way are the ongoing AARs featuring Axis players holding their ground deep in Russia well into 1944. Games, I'd like to note, which were started way before 1.05 changes - with all the problems it entailed to the Axis. I can only wonder what would be possible in 1944 for an Axis player who started with 1.05. The Axis players on these AARs need to be commended by all of us: they show us how willpower is a major factor when fighting such a defensive, frustrating and depressing struggle.
Axis auto victory seems to be out of reach, but MichaelT showed us that it was well within reach (and Pelton might one of these days).
I've yet to see any Soviet AAR here against a human player reaching Berlin well before 1945 (or at any time). Axis players tend to forgo the games when extraordinary events such as the Soviets crossing the lower Dnepr in Summer 1942 (or before). Crossing the Dnepr in 1942 is not, by far, anything like crossing the Oder in April 1945. There at least two examples of Axis players who didn't lose faith, and inflicted devastating defeats on Soviets who overextended during Summer 1942 (one of them right in front of the Carpathian mountains). Surprisingly, Soviet players quit after that.
Regarding the Soviets, unless the Axis player loses faith well before summer of 1945, they have ahead a painful slog towards the west. We don't ever know whether it's possible that the Soviet Union exhausts its seemingly endless manpower after two years of WW1-style assaults and Axis timely operational retreats.
Wite2 - Lead Tester