From: University Park, Texas
As I see it, unless Tarhunnas has a serious brainfart, he has a lock on a minor victory, minimum. These losses in rail cap, manpower, and industry are deep and probably irrecoverable. It's unlikely he can outright knock out the Soviets from the war, but the Soviets aren't getting Berlin here.
OTOH the Russian losses are still VERY light. And the Germans are going very deep in the center and the south. There are a lot of possibilites for a really nasty Soviet Blizzard Offensive. As you say, if Tarhunnas rolls with the attack and perserves his force, we are looking, at the worst, at something like the Somme on the Dnieper in 44. At the best, he has a shot at AV in 43. I do believe that this supports the early contention that a Sir Robinisky Defense is very risky against a good player
Over all, most impressive Tarhunnas.
BTW, I still keep reading the the Germans might as well resign after Turn 1 because they don't have a prayer now that HQ Buildup is nerfed