From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
If GJ has achieved surprise, which seems certain now, rader is going to be in the position of trying to draw to an inside straight. Until he can pull his combat ships and carriers up to NoPac, he's going to have to commit all his air. He'll get in some licks, but he'll take horrific losses. Rather than drawing to that inside straight, he's much more likely to break his own back trying.
A word of caution about strategic bombing - it is much more difficult in practice than in theory and in real life. That's going on my own experience and that of Bullwinkle as posted about a year ago. Things may have changed since then, but if not, strategic bombing isn't as effective as it was in WitP and in real life.
While strategic bombing will be important and will bring GJ alot of pleasure (), the real game-changer here is going to be the battles fought over the taking and possession of bases. Rader is going into battle strong (except in the air) and most likely will come out weak. The surprise achieved by GJ is the reason. Rader is gonna poop his britches.