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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein!

 
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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/7/2012 12:35:45 PM   
JeffK


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Be ready to dodge and weave, you have his interest off Burma, keep building up in East DEI. If/when he moves that way, hit him in the Bay of Bengal.

All the time have SS on the routes he has to traverse.

He may be thinking he must react to you, it might be a good time to set up a trap for him.

Dont set up a feint which may have him within reaction range of your main attacks.

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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/7/2012 1:20:34 PM   
Canoerebel


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quote:

ORIGINAL: vettim89

Dan,

Your AAR seems to keep reminding me of movies. This one is obvious

"Well, as you know, I always felt we tried to go a bridge too far" - LT Gen Frederick Browning


Vettim, you mean like: "Hey, we had no idea a Panzer divisions was regrouping in our drop zone!"

Yup, that's what happened here. I "dropped" my "paratroopers" amidst a Panzer division of combat and fast transport vessels. Mine was a case of "a day to near." Had I had one more day to get my act together at Victoria Point, the Allies would have won the engagement. I can but grimace and move on.

< Message edited by Canoerebel -- 4/7/2012 1:21:14 PM >

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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/7/2012 2:00:22 PM   
Canoerebel


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For months the Alllies have had two IJ armies isolated at Padang, Sumatra, and Magwe, Burma.  Both iJ armies consist of two divisions plus other units.  Both armies actually outnumber the Allied troops in raw AV.  Both bases are controlled by the Allies.  The Allies have been actively bombing Magwe, but only sporadically bombing Padang.  With both IJ armies out of supply, here's the trend for raw Japanese AV over the past 15 days:

Padang - 889 AV to 852 AV - a decline of 4.2% at a rate of about 2.5 AV/day.
Magwe - 1288 AV to 1092 AV - a decline of 15.22% at a rate of about 13 AV /day.

The Allies won't attack at Padang any time soon due to the the significantly larger size of the Japanese army. But at Magwe, I plan to attack as soon as the Allies achieve numerical superiority in raw AV.  At present, Japan has 1092 and the Allies have 972, a difference of 120 AV.  At the current rate, the Allies should attain numerical superiority in about ten days.


< Message edited by Canoerebel -- 4/7/2012 2:03:47 PM >

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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/7/2012 2:09:48 PM   
vettim89


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Regarding VP, the only good thing is this is AE vs WitP; ergo, you can buy back the two fighter squadrons.

Regarding the two isolated garrisons, I believe it was posted recently that adjusted AS is only 25% of raw AS if the troops have no supplies. So the IJA Divisions are likely paper armies

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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/7/2012 2:23:59 PM   
ny59giants


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Once an unit has have over 1/2 disablement, any negative combat results in increase destruction of devices/squads. The first attack may not be great, but each one after that should show better results.

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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/7/2012 3:47:01 PM   
Canoerebel


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12/18/42
 
Singapore:  The Royal Navy makes its first visit to Singapore.  A TF flagged by CA Hawkins and CLs Hobart and Leander sprint in from Singkawang and tangle with three mixed transport TFs, seriously damaging or sinking 2 DD, 2 TB, 3 PB, 2 ACM and 5 xAK.  DD Vampire takes moderate damage in the exchanges, the only Allied ship to incur more than minor hits.

Sampit:  The Allies begin the airlift to vacant (and still Allied-controlled) Sampit.  Part of a USA parachute regiment and part of a Sea Bee unit are in place now.

West of Padang:  The Japanese continue to target massed waves of bombers against an Aussie brigade and a USA tank regiment trying to shove aside weak opposition in the jungles two hexes east of Sibolga.  The constant attention from Japanese strike aircraft has seriously disrupted the Allied units, but Japan used more than 100 Betties (plus plenty of Nells and Sallies) in the process. 

Burma:  7th Hussars got 2:1 odds at Moulmein and dropped forts to zero, but didn't take the base.  They'll shock attack tomorrow (unlikely to succeed due to Japanese bombers disrupting them, but worth a try).  A Chinese division will arrive in three or four days.  The CL Birmingham TF will visit the port tonight (from Port Blair) to try to interdict any IJ reinforcement efforts by sea.  There's a decent chance the Allies will taken Moulmein before Japan can reinforce.

SWPac:  Things still look good in the eastern DEI as three Allied transport TFs are about to pass the frontier as they move to Morotai and Sorong.

< Message edited by Canoerebel -- 4/7/2012 3:48:47 PM >

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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/8/2012 11:54:48 PM   
Canoerebel


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12/19/42
 
Burma:  Japan reinforce Moulmein successfully - the units are weak and might have come by air or sea (CL Birmingham only moved one hex closer to Moulmein rather than going into the hex, for reasons unkown).  A Chinese division will cross the river and attack tomorrow, so there's a chance the Allies can take the base.  Liberators out of Port Blair will try to soften the target.  Up at Pegu, the Allied army extinguished a Japanese regiment.  The Allies will try the first probing deliberate attack at Magwe tomorrow.

Singapore:  I think Steve is withdrawing the horde or transports formerly stationed at Singapore.  Avengers out of Singkawang messed up eight of them.  Steve is realizing, I think, that he's got a major problem with Singers.  :)

Borneo:  The Valiant BB will patrol at Kuching tonight and I think the BB Hiei TF might visit.  Ketapang airfield goes to level four.  Air transport of engineers and infantry to Sampit continues.

SWPac:  Two TFs bound for Morotai and Sorong have passed Ceram and are entering Indian country without signs of detection.

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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/9/2012 5:18:29 PM   
Canoerebel


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12/20/42
 
Burma:  The Allied attack at Magwe failed, but the adjusted AV was so low that I think I didn't set "all units" to attack.  I'll try again with the bulk of the troops tomorrow.  At Moulmein, the Chinese unit crossed the river but didn't auto attack, apparently because I already had enough in the hex to avoid that feature.  So the Chinese are set to shock attack tomorrow.  The CL Birmingham TF hammered a handful of merchants at Moulmein.  The remaining two APDs, both at Port Blair, will load a force and head for Phuket - part of the effort to keep Steve a little off balance in the western DEI.  We want him focused here.

Sumatra:  Aussie infantry and US tanks brush aside the week opposition two hexes east of Sibolga.  The tanks will move forward to gauge enemy strength a hex closer to that base.

Borneo:  Quiet today.  Still thinking we might get a surface clash at Kuching if the Hiei TF tries to make its way into the port.  A sub up near Soc Trang got a sighting on Atago - first time I've seen her in a long time.

Eastern DEI:  Supply TF arrived undetected at Sorong.  Garrison TF bound for Morotai will arrive tomorrow or the day after (also undetected).

NoPac:  By the end of winter, I project Para to have level four port, level six airfield, and level six or seven forts.  The balance of 41st Div. is loading at Dutch Harbor to make the trip to Para - upon its safe arrival the AV will rise to 760.  My objective is to get this base to 1,000 to 1,500.  Tomorrow, two Canadian battalions at Victoria begin loading for the trip to Onnekotan.  By the end of winter, that base should have ports two, airfields three, and forts four or five, with AV of 400 or so. Tonight, the CL Mauritius TF will make a raid from Para to Shimishura - the first time I've tried this.

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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/9/2012 5:30:50 PM   
Canoerebel


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Current disposition of Allied capital ships:

NoPac:  BBs Tennessee, Maryland and Idaho, CV Wasp, three CVEs and CAs Quincy and Houston form the core of a fairly powerful force tasked to protect the Allied bases in the Kuriles.

CenPac: BB Arizona and two CVE are on station near Christmas Island.

DEI:  BBs Valiant, Royal Sovereign and Ramilles are on station with BC Repulse pumping out water prior to making the trip to the yards at Colombo (she has damage on the light-moderate side).  Also present are CAs Hawkins, Penscola, San Francisco, Dorsetshire, Cornwall and Canberra.  BB Indiana is perhaps five days out of Oosthaven.  CA Wichita is just about to depart Capetown for Oosthaven.

Indian Ocean:  Four American CVs are on patrol with CAs New Orleans, Vincennes and Chester.  CV Lexington is ten days away from duty at Colombo.  CA Frobisher is currently at Port Blair.

Also at Colombo: BBs South Dakota and Warspite and CAs Chicago, Portland and Devonshire are upgrading or repairing.  All but SD will be ready in days.  SD is about 45 days away from duty.

Wishing She was at Colombo:  Heavily damaged CA Salt Lake City is at Cocos Island.  Every time she leaves, she leaks like a sieve, so she might be stuck here until an ARD arrives in a year or so. 

At Capetown:   BB North Carolina is three months from being available.  Revenge will arrive in a couple of days and needs a good six months of work.

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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/9/2012 5:51:54 PM   
jeffk3510


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Dan- Will you still be able to play this one as much, and keep the AAR up to date with your new game as well?

Hope so.

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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/9/2012 5:54:34 PM   
Canoerebel


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Yes, I should be able to do both.  Both games will be played at one turn per day max, so that's about right.  I would've started a second game earlier, but I didn't want to have two ongoing that were close in game date.  Having one in 1943 and the other near the start of the war should work well.

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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/9/2012 5:57:43 PM   
Panzerjaeger Hortlund


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But I will read this AAR and learn all about your tricks!

(if that is ok with you)

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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/9/2012 6:06:59 PM   
Canoerebel


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You're welcome to read it, PH.  But I won't read your AAR vs. Nemo.  I kinda just want to be surprised.

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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/9/2012 6:46:33 PM   
Panzerjaeger Hortlund


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Oh man, now I feel bad about reading the first few pages here.

You are right, I'll stay out of this one. Although I feel I should inform you that Im aware of your love for the northern strategy now. An with this post, I leave this thread.



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The era of procrastination, of half-measures, of soothing and baffling expedients, of delays, is coming to a close.
In its place we are entering a period of consequences..

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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/9/2012 8:41:22 PM   
Capt. Harlock


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quote:

Also present are CAs Hawkins, Penscola, San Francisco, Dorsetshire, Cornwall and Canberra.


A very useful post -- my compliments for your kind attention to we readers. (Though personally, I wouldn't consider the Hawkins as a capital ship. Where are the Brooklyn class CL's?)

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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/9/2012 10:18:47 PM   
Canoerebel


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Capt. Harlock
A very useful post -- my compliments for your kind attention to we readers. (Though personally, I wouldn't consider the Hawkins as a capital ship. Where are the Brooklyn class CL's?)


Hawkins has been doing some good duty in the DEI - she flags a TF that just ate up some IJ merchant shipping at Kuching a few days ago. Japan has lost so many capital ships that any Allied capital ship is a serious threat now - Steve can't afford to suffer any damage, so even a ship like Hawkins poses a heightened threat to him.

The Allies have two Cleveland class CLs - Columbia is at Paramushiro about to engage in the first raid on IJ shipping at Shimishura Jima (as mentioned in my post above for 12/20). Cleveland is enroute from the USA to Capetown, ETA sixteen days.

As for the Brooklyn class: Nashville and Boise are just about ready for active duty at Colombo; Honolulu is in a TF with CA Cornwall (commanded by Reeves) at Billiton Island.

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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/10/2012 7:21:58 AM   
BBfanboy


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

Wishing She was at Colombo:  Heavily damaged CA Salt Lake City is at Cocos Island.  Every time she leaves, she leaks like a sieve, so she might be stuck here until an ARD arrives in a year or so. 


Is SLC setting out alone? I think I saw somewhere that escorting ships can help with flooding control and fire suppression to a small extent. Perhaps an escort would get her back to a bigger port on Sumatra?
Also, I know that the systems damage has to be virtually nil to have any hope of pumps working but you probably already know that.

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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/10/2012 2:26:33 PM   
Canoerebel


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Salt Lake City took heavy damage while in port at Oosthaven months ago - I think she took two or three sub torps.  She remained disbanded in port for months while SYS damage was repaired to zero.  Then she was escorted by a DD to Cocos Island, making the short trip without incident.  When I sent her from Cocos towards Colombo, she sprung a major leak one day out - her FLT damage going from 65 to 79 in one turn.  So I'm kind of nervous about trying that again! She has a good captain, SYS was zero, and she was set to "cruise", but none of that proved effective.  I think she had a DD escort leaving Cocos, but I can't swear to it now (I can't imagine, though that I'd send a heavily damaged capital ship through dangerous waters without escort).

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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/10/2012 2:44:24 PM   
Galahad78

 

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So, are we going to have two Canoerebel AARs going at the same time? Life is good

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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/10/2012 3:18:35 PM   
Canoerebel


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Yes.  I'm not sure why, but I love writing AARs. 

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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/10/2012 5:59:56 PM   
vettim89


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

Salt Lake City took heavy damage while in port at Oosthaven months ago - I think she took two or three sub torps.  She remained disbanded in port for months while SYS damage was repaired to zero.  Then she was escorted by a DD to Cocos Island, making the short trip without incident.  When I sent her from Cocos towards Colombo, she sprung a major leak one day out - her FLT damage going from 65 to 79 in one turn.  So I'm kind of nervous about trying that again! She has a good captain, SYS was zero, and she was set to "cruise", but none of that proved effective.  I think she had a DD escort leaving Cocos, but I can't swear to it now (I can't imagine, though that I'd send a heavily damaged capital ship through dangerous waters without escort).


I think she'll fit into the big floating dry dock you should be getting soon. Of course it will take months to get it all the way to the Cocos

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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/10/2012 6:01:37 PM   
vettim89


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Voice of experience speaking, she will fit into the dock at Melbourne too. Perhaps you can shuttle her to Exmouth then down the Australian West and South coasts

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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/11/2012 5:42:19 PM   
Canoerebel


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12/21/42
 
NoPac:  Japan's northern fleet attacks the same day and in the same place the Allied northern fleet does.  The two TFs tangle in several places ending up near Paramushiro.  The Allies are outgunned and lose CL Mauritius, CLAA Atlanta, and two DD, with three more DD taking heavy damage.  The IJN TF includes BB Hyuga, CA Nachi and an escort of DDs.  The Allies will send in BB Tennessee and CA Houston to protect the port.  Knowing where Hyuga and Nachi are is helpful.

Eastern DEI:  Allied transport TFs at Sorong and Morotai have not been detected.

Western DEI:  Allies continue working to garrison Sampit - the force there is still vey weak, but won't be much longer.  SigInt that Japan is reinforcing Tarakan.  Lots of Allied transports carrying mainly engineers and base forces will be arriving at Oosthaven in the next few days.

Burma:  Big news as the Chinese are able to wrest Moulmein away from the Japanese.  The Allied force there is strong enough (and will be reinforced) that I don't think Japan can reclaim this base without a major undertaking, which is unlikely at this point since Burma isn't as important as many other hotspots.  The Allies probing attack at Magwe comes off at 2:1 and does about equal damage to both sides.  But this is encouraging - it means the end may be in sight for the two IJ divisions here.  Wiping out all resistance, which will take awhile, will free up a large Allied force that can then help attend to Rangoon and other points.

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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/11/2012 6:23:03 PM   
Crackaces


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Panzerjaeger Hortlund
Although I feel I should inform you that Im aware of your love for the northern strategy now. An with this post, I leave this thread.


In poker we call this thinking what the opponent is thinking that you are thinking about what he his thinking ...

It does not matter when staring at 15 Essex class CV's full of death from above ..

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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/12/2012 3:45:04 PM   
Canoerebel


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12/22/42
 
Bay of Bengal:  A stout combat TF led by CA Tone tangles with several smaller combat TFs at Port Blair.  The CL Sumatra TF put up a good fight.  Sumatra and Tromp took light damage and managed to heavily damage an IJN DD.  Then Tone came in and blasted CA Frobisher out of the water (a Long Lance strike) plus DMS Zane. Steve continues to commit fairly stout forces into the Andaman Sea even though it's base of operations (Singapore) is no longer safe.  Hopefully I can benefit from this situation.  I think Steve may be desperate enough over the loss of Moulmein and the dire situations at Rangoon and Magwe tro try something fairily big up here.

Burma:  The Allied army at Magwe will attack again tomorrow.  A second Chinese division will reach Moulmein in a couple of days.

Eastern DEI:  Lots of IJ shipping in the South China Sea including a sub-sighting of BB Yamashiro up near Manila.  I'm expecting some kind of major effort here - perhaps a transport convoy to Kuching or maybe even a counterinvasion of Singkawang.  The Allies have quite a bit of combat shipping divided between Singkawang and Billiton Island.  This is near the frontier - on the margins where a sudden enemy attack en masse can result in big losses, but so be it.  I'd like a crack at more IJN capital ships.

Western DEI:  Troops ashore at both Morotai and Sorong without detection.  The most advanced base force in the eastern DEI is at Sorong, which currently has a level one airfield.  I've stopped all airfield construction at Taberfane, Saumlaki and Boela just before each base reaches level one.  I don't want to tip off Steve about what's happening.  As soon as he notices activity, I'll resume building the airfields.  Right now it's more important to get garrison troops to these bases.  I'm even trying to put together a force to go to Talaud Eilanden, the island just south of Mindanao.  I need more political points!



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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/13/2012 4:17:24 PM   
Canoerebel


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12/23/42
 
Bay of Bengal:  Lots of IJ bombers attending to Moulmein, and I think enemy ships are on the way.  Steve doesn't intend to give up this base.  I'll have two Chinese divisions on site, so it won't be easy for him to reclaim, but I need to work this hard to prevent him from retaking it.  I may need to transfer some of the units from up at Magwe.  I think I can spare some from the "liquidation of the isolated IJ army effort."  Today's attack at Magwe achieved 4:1 odds, so the IJ army is breaking.  A TF made up of CA Devonshire and CL Boise will report from Colombo to Port Blair to provide protection for in incoming troop convoy carrying, among others, 50th Indian paratroops.

NoPac:  Tennesee and Houston are on station with Quincy and two DDs on the way from Adak.

SWPac/Eastern DEI:  SigInt that a Jap recon unit is enroute to Rabaul, which to my way of thinking is an irrelevant place.  Forts at Morotai reach level one, with some bigger troop convoys getting closer - Morotai will get a Kiwi brigade (plus an Aussie brigade if my memory is accurate).  I don't think Steve is paying attention here at all.

Western DEI:  BB Indiana will reach Oosthaven in two days.  A long-range Liberator recon squadron has been on duty at Billiton for a week now, providing information about Cam Ranh Bay and Saigon.  The KB seems to be at the former, if the reports are accurate.  The Allies have two forces prepping for Balikpapan and Banjermasin, but I'm considering Miri also.  9th Aussie Division arrives at Aden in 19 days, so I think that's what it'll prep for.  Right now, the Japanese position at Miri is kind of isolated, what with the Allies still holding some bases in NW Borneo plus Puerto Princessa.  (It'd ridiculous that the Allies still have these bases, but that could also change at any minute.)


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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/14/2012 10:01:41 AM   
Blackhorse


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quote:

I've stopped all airfield construction at Taberfane, Saumlaki and Boela just before each base reaches level one. I don't want to tip off Steve about what's happening. As soon as he notices activity, I'll resume building the airfields.


Clever, that.

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RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/14/2012 1:13:21 PM   
Canoerebel


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12/24/42
 
Burma:  I think Steve is panicked a bit over Burma and Malaya.  He realizes the close call he had at Victoria Point (SigInt reports troops on a maru bound for Georgetown).  He's bombing the port and airfield at Moulmein heavily (he wants to prevent fort building while he puts together a force to reclaim this base).  He's resorted to long-range CAP over Magwe from Rangoon (too late to save his beleagured army there).  The Allies will deliberate attack at Magwe tomorrow - IJ AV is below 800 now.  If this attack goes well, I might rest my guys for a couple of days and then shock attack.  As for Moulmein, Japan can't mount a timely ground campaign, so if Steve's coming he's got to come by sea.  The CA Devonshire TF will be tasked to stop any such effort.

Sumatra:  US tanks brush aside depleted opposition a hex east of Sibolga.  Now the tanks can move into the base to gauge enemy strength.  The Allies have 26th Indian Division on transports just to the south.  This force was originally slated for Singkawang (weren't needed there), then Victoria Point (couldn't get them in before I lost the base), and are now waiting to see whether Sibolga or Banjermasin/Balikpapan are better opportunities.

Eastern DEI:  Allied activity still undetected.  A transport TF carrying an Aussie brigade is inbound to Morotai - perhaps four days out.  This is a critical moment - if this unit gets ashore, the Allies have some staying power here (and also at Boela, where there's another Aussie brigade; and soon at Sorong, where Fiji brigade is about four days out).  At that point, it's no longer a matter of Steve dealing with annoying little incursions easily overcome.

< Message edited by Canoerebel -- 4/14/2012 1:14:23 PM >

(in reply to Blackhorse)
Post #: 2938
RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/14/2012 7:25:19 PM   
BBfanboy


Posts: 2890
Joined: 8/4/2010
From: Winnipeg, MB
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

12/24/42

Sumatra:  US tanks brush aside depleted opposition a hex east of Sibolga.  Now the tanks can move into the base to gauge enemy strength.  The Allies have 26th Indian Division on transports just to the south.  This force was originally slated for Singkawang (weren't needed there), then Victoria Point (couldn't get them in before I lost the base), and are now waiting to see whether Sibolga or Banjermasin/Balikpapan are better opportunities.


That's the stuff - keep your options open it good strategy. It keeps your opponent [and your AAR followers] guessing!

_____________________________

I have not yet begun to fight! OTOH I have not yet begun to flee. Hmmmmm - choices, choices -always with the choices.

(in reply to Canoerebel)
Post #: 2939
RE: Das darf nicht wahr sein! - 4/14/2012 10:27:34 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 9796
Joined: 12/14/2002
From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
Status: offline
12/25/42
 
Moulmein:  A big battle is shaping up.  A USN sub tangled with a very big transport TF including one heavy cruiser near Phuket on a northeast heading.  Steve's intent on retaking this base.  The Allies want to stop him.  CA Devonshire/CL Boise TF is already on station at Port Blair.  CA Chicago TF and BB Warspite TF depart Colombo tonight.  CV Saratoga and CV Illustrious TF are just east of Colombo, true, and make full steam into the Bay of Bengal.  The other three USN carriers are south of Padang and probably too distant to make it, but will give it the old college try.

Magwe:  Allied deliberate attack at 3:1 causes relatively light damage, but Japan takes the brunt of what there is.  The Allies will have to rest a few days with disruption in the 50s.  But Japan's army here is toast unless Steve can pull a rabbit out of a hat in short order.

Western DEI:  Fairly quiet at the moment as Steve is focusing on Moulmein.  The new Allied garrison at Sampit is up to 100 AV with good engineers present.

Eastern DEI:  The quiet continues.  Aussie brigade two or three days from Morotai.

(in reply to BBfanboy)
Post #: 2940
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