From: Vienna, Austria
In Scenario Two, an experienced IJ player can essentially ignore Luzon while focusing on Singapore and the DEI. By February 1942, he'll be ready to launch a big invasion of India or Australia (or possibly Hawaii, though I'm not certain that would be worth it). Japan can use surplus forces to wear down the Allied army on Luzon, finally wiping it out in April or May or June, when it's out of supply and worthless.
I think that's what you'll see in Scenario Two in the future, and it will lead to a tense and interesting game through 1942.
Of course, newer players don't have the experience to draw on to pull off such an aggressive and ambitious plan, so you wouldn't expect them to be aware that such a plan is possible or to be able to keep to it even if they were.
In my game with Q-Ball, he followed this plan and has done very well, though ultimately he fell a little bit short of conquering India in 1942. He was serving as the ice breaker, so he didn't have the benefit of watching other players pursue such a strategy. Other players will have the benefit of what he demonstrated and learned - including Bullwinkle's very helpful analysis of the "reinforcement triggering threshholds.
I can't wait to follow the next Scenario Two games in which an experienced and reasonably aggressive Japanese player takes the helm. Of course, a resonably experienced and aggressive Allied player may put up a more effective defense than I did, but it will be fun viewing the show.
Canorebel, this is not a qualitative rating of your and Q-balls strategy, you both play top league, but would you agree
that the your understanding of how to best play the Allies and the Japanese (your tendency to fall back and play very patient, to
some degree relying on a japanese overextension, and Q-Ball who is for sure one of the very aggressive Japanese players)
lead to the massive Japanese territory gain in your PBEM?
Just interested if you see it the same way because thats the conlusion I came to from watching your war.
Andy Mac vs. PzB is another example but I think the "no withdrawals" setting there made it absolutely unique compared
to the other AARs.
< Message edited by LoBaron -- 2/8/2011 2:29:58 PM >