There is really only one truth in wargaming, and that article is likely missing it slightly.
I will die eventually. YOU will die eventually.
David Heath, Gary Grigsby, John Tiller, they will all die eventually.
In the 70s I became a wargamer, I was young.
In the 80s I became an adult wargamer, I also got married.
In the 90s wargaming really started to get seriously good use out of computers finally (after some earlier less than pretty efforts).
Avalon Hill also succumbed to the truth in the 90s.
There has never been a time when wargaming was genuinely profitable.
Matrix Games 'looks; successful till you measure the numbers against mainstream companies, then the grim truth is impossible to ignore.
Matrix Games will not outlive any of us as a wargame publisher.
Wargaming will also not outlive any of us as a hobby.
Wargaming, ie card board counters, turns, hexgridded maps, any game made to emulate that.
Not 3d real time fancy graphics experiences, just old school dull looking (to outsiders) boring history based wargaming.
EVERYONE I see playing old school wargames, only gets older, only ages as a group.
New blood? sure occasionally there is a trickle here and a trickle there.
There's no market in servicing a trickle.
That people have been talking doom and gloom for 10 20 or more years and it still hasn't died, is because I have, you have, and David Heath, Gary Grigsby, John Tiller etc have not managed to kick off and leave us yet. You will just need to be patient.
But I'm 49 this year (yippee friggin hurrah). In 2012 I join a new demographic, the 50+ category (I CAN wait, no really, I can). Ever noticed how so many polls cut it off at 49?
I play ASL, I have since I belonged to the teen demographic.
I NEVER see new teen players.
I also don't really see much in the way of 20 something players.
Actually I really see very little growth in the game's pool of players at all. Likely has something to do with how it is mainly a market for people that have been playing it for years.
MMP expanded into other titles likely because there's no real business in focusing on one game most of the fans already own.
The above is also the same over all problem with new wargames in general.
Now that we have War in the East, there is VERY little incentive to do it again.
Unlike the mainstream market that fully expects to continue making its games year after year.
There is little incentive to re invent War in the Pacific.
And you can say this about title after title in our hobby. Once a developer gets it right, they essentially lock down that topic.
I'd like a re built reborn Steel Panthers, but there simply doesn't appear to be anyone interested in doing it.
The recent BBC BA did a nice job of creating the experience of tactical in a new look. But now that they have done it so well, it is unlikely anyone will join them. We as wargamers are picky, we only want #1. We have no interest in rivals or second best.
There is a reason for why we have only one Close Combat and one Combat Mission. Because we wouldn't be to very kind to anyone making the effort and not totally wowing us.
So we continue to age, and we continue to play are narrow assortment of must have titles, and that is that.
And one day we will all start dropping dead like WW1 veterans, and people will start lamenting 'what will we do when they are all gone?'. And the answer will be, if you make games, 'make something else'.
Wargaming still has a few years in it left guys.
I'm not going to die just yet (I hope).
I'm sure David and Gary and John have a few years left in them too :)
I hope most of you guys are not going anywhere just yet.
I expect to be arguing with most of you lot for another 20 years at least before we start slowing down and start complaining about needing more frequent naps.
But I see NO reason to think our hobby has any future without the predominantly (now that is) 45-55 age group that made wargaming (the cardboard and turn using hex mapped sort that is)in the first place.
Now if the world ends in 2012 well that will solve everything of course :)
I LIKE that my life bothers them,
Why should I be the only one bothered by it eh.