Q-Ball -> RE: John's Questions (1/7/2009 11:55:34 PM)
December 21st Notes
The last few days has seen some good progress in Malaya, DEI, and Phillipines. The other positive event is a decent amount of Allied air losses; many Bolos, some TIVas, some Martins, in general destroying aircraft that can still be a threat.
I believe that the Allies have withdrawn most of their surface forces from the SRA. The USN Cruisers were destroyed, the Dutch cruisers took some damage, Nells are stationed now at Kendari and Kuching, and they also know we have 2 CV groups in the SRA. This, plus the recent air losses, means that I think we can up the tempo and really drive home issues in the DEI.
3 2/3 Divisions have reached Taiping, and will shock attack/pursue tommorow. I expect this to work as the defenders fled Georgetown easily two days ago. On the East Coast of Malaya, I moved 1/3 of a division, 16/C, on Khota Bharu. For whatever reason, they attacked it yesterday, with very bad results for the Allies. Today, I see they are retreating from this base. Not sure if they will go all the way to Singapore or not. Either way, the advanced Indian Bdes won't be worth much by the time we reach Singapore in force. This bodes well for an early conquest.
Lingayen fell to a 6-1 attack on the first try. Now the fun begins! Most of these troops are now marching to Clark; they will have to pull out of Baguio, or be cut off. The Southern Luzon invasion force is going to shock attack/pursue Naga; initial intel suggests that only two PA division are present. The next couple days should be interesting. I think the Allies are going to have to fall back on Manila quickly now, or risk being cut in two.
Here we are picking up the tempo. Several TFs with supplies and base forces are steaming for Jolo and Kendari to provide follow-on invasion support, while several invasion TF's set sail:
Lautem, Koepang, and Dili will sail simultaneously in two days
From Medado: Makassar
From Jolo: Balikpapan is loading (3 SNLF units). A last unit is prepping there for Banjarmisan.
Base forces are in transit for most of these targets as well.
This is all setting up for the Invasion of JAVA. We are beginning to gather units and shipping for this important target. Baby KB is refueling at Saigon. We also have the following units close to ready to load for a landing on Java:
Davao: 56th Bde
Saigon: 21st Div, 21st and 23rd Mixed Bde, 4th Mixed Regt, 2 Eng Regts, 2 Base Forces, Artillery, AA units.
We need a couple days to get ships into ports, and also get a couple supply convoys to Saigon, but I think we can sail around the 27th or 28th with all these forces. This should be plenty to land on Java, and at least begin the conquest.
OVERALL, I think we need to really take some risks and move fast, for a couple reasons. First, we need to keep a tight timetable to invade India in February. Second, we want to keep the "Skeer" on; they are probably a little blue about the naval losses and speed of advance in the DEI, let's keep up the full court press.