Command LIVE – Wish List Scenarios

[Daniele]

After the Old Grudges Never Die release and the You Brexit, You Fix it announcement, we received a lot of feedback about the concept behind the Command LIVE project.

The idea to recreate fictional - although very realistic, in the CMANO pattern - scenarios, inspired by our daily reality, is truly fascinating and challenging at the same time. The amount elements to take in consideration for each decision could be overwhelming.

Luckily, Warfare Sims doesn’t fear this challenge, and we have at least 3 more scenarios (plus the upcoming You Brexit, You Fix it one) in the Pipeline!

It's time for you to raise your voices and you will be heard!

Do you have any geopolitical situation you would see covered in the Command LIVE series? What are in your opinion the next-gen wars?

Share your thoughts here!

[Raptorx7_slith]

A China Vs Japan scenario involving the Shokaku islands would be interesting!

Some land based Japanese/US air assets with a Japanese task force centered around a heli carrier (Maybe with some F-35's on board? [;)]

[Dysta]

My voice is "9 Dashed Lies", obvious post-tribunal SCS scenarios.

[Vici Supreme]

Although I'm working on such a scenario for ages now, I'd like to see a realistic modern day United States vs. Venezuela scenario with the potential of other nations (China) being drawn into the conflict.

[Ghost0815]

For an air/sea scenario:
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The fighting over disputed island in the South China Sea between Beijing and Washington and the rest of the nations around the South China Sea.

For an air/land scenario:
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One of the many NATO military exercise goes wrong along the Russia Border and the Russia army react....

[Lionheart]

A scenario focused on the increasing militarization of the Arctic region by Russia, United States, Canada, Denmark, Norway and China.

[HalfLifeExpert]

Well all the ones I've been thinking of have been put down....

How about a preemptive strike on North Korea's nukes?

And of course arguably the most dangerous of the worlds unresolved conflicts: India v Pakistan

[Stardog765]

US air campaign against ISIS in Iraq and Syria, some special forces insertions and Russia in the area running their own air ops and possible conflicting objectives and escalating tensions between the two air forces.

[Dakion5687]

South China Sea Escalation

Korea immediately after North Korea Nuclear strike

Syrian Invasion

Russian invasion of NATO baltic countries

[HalfLifeExpert]

ORIGINAL: Dakion5687

Russian invasion of NATO baltic countries

I believe that is the subject of the next one "You Brexit, You Fix It!"

[Raptorx7_slith]

ORIGINAL: Lionheart

A scenario focused on the increasing militarization of the Arctic region by Russia, United States, Canada, Denmark, Norway and China.

That is a great idea, I haven't seen a single scenario about this.

[Vici Supreme]

ORIGINAL: Lionheart

A scenario focused on the increasing militarization of the Arctic region by Russia, United States, Canada, Denmark, Norway and China.

+1

[Excroat3]

Over the next 2 years, Ukraine-NATO cooperation increases significantly. In 2018, Russia, unable to fully support the DPR, has to decide between abandoning them or fully invading Eastern Ukraine to solidify that territory. They choose the latter, and as a diversion for NATO, Russia amasses troops on the Baltic borders. However, 2 days before the planned Russian invasion of Ukraine, there is a small firefight between NATO and Russian units on the border of Latvia. As a response, NATO announces that they will militarily support Ukraine in the event of an invasion. 2 days later, Russian air forces meet Ukrainian air forces and NATO advance aircraft in combat. Scenario can last up to a week, both sides receiving reinforcements as the scenario progresses.



If you want to link it to You Brexit You Fix It, you could say that the alliance was formed as a result of the Baltic war that was portrayed in that scenario.

[jun5896]

South China Sea Conflict, 2018-2020 US vs China

North Korea Campaign, 2017-2018 US-ROK vs China and NK

[wqc12345]

Does it have to be current events?

If so, I would love a fictional scenario where the Japanese rewrite their constitution and start countering China.
Indonesia turns to an oligarchy and spins up its military to invade Malaysia.
Australia comes in on the side of the phillipines during a China incursion.
Vietnam and China go at it in the South China Sea.

Older scenarios around linebacker II

[Tullius]

An American Intervention in Syria after the Ghouta chemical attack (2013) - providing different degrees of interventions (= subscenarios) (the "Zero" alternative we have we already seen).

[AlGrant]

Eastern Med Oil & Gas dispute:

"In March 2010, the U.S. Geological Survey estimated a mean of 1.7 billion barrels of recoverable oil and a mean of 34.5 trillion cubic meters of recoverable gas in the Levant Basin in the eastern Mediterranean, which includes the territorial waters of Lebanon, Israel, Syria and Cyprus."

Real world: Since at least 2000 there have been increasing oil & gas field discoveries in the Eastern Med.
http://menasborders.blogspot.co.uk/2011/01/noble-energys-new-find-draws-attention.html
A number of these fields are close to and in some cases straddle already disputed maritime EEZ borders.
Over the past 4 or 5 years there have been a number of claim and accusations.

At present Egypt seems to have it's claims fairly well established following a massive discovery in 2015, but there were past accusations from some that Israel were drilling illegally it Egyptian territory.

Israel has increased it's maritime EEZ patrol capabilities and although there has been posturing around the EEZ borders, nobody has started shooting.
http://www.bmiresearch.com/news-and-views/eastern-mediterranean-regional-tensions-overshadow-oil-and-gas-disputes

Countries that have been involved in the past have been Egypt, Gaza, Lebanon, Israel, Syria, Turkey and both North and South Cyprus.


Currently Syria is in a mess but has backing in the E. Med from Russia. Russia now have a constant naval presence in the Eastern Med.

Turkey is going through a big upheaval with purges throughout the military and a media crackdown.
Following criticism of it's post-coup actions Pres Erdogan has told both the US & EU to mind their own business:
http://news.sky.com/story/erdogan-tells-west-mind-your-own-business-10516970

Post-Coup Turkish / Russian relationship increasing and being watched by NATO:
http://sputniknews.com/military/20160729/1043737240/nato-monitor-turkey-russia-relationship.html
http://www.voanews.com/content/turkey-russia-relations/3440280.html

Lebanon is about to restart offshore exploration. Some of it's claimed areas border Israeli and Syrian claims, in the past Iran has backed the Lebanese claims:
http://www.thearabweekly.com/Opinion/5855/Lebanon-aims-to-restart-offshore-oil-exploration
http://yalibnan.com/2016/07/02/jumblatt-praises-reactivation-of-lebanons-oil-and-gas-issue/

Add to all that the complicating factor that these drilling rigs are international commercial/civilian drilling platforms, most not owned/operated by the country who claims the EEZ

Given the past and ongoing real world EEZ border disputes and the current mayhem in the region it shouldn't be too hard to come up with a scenario where somebody starts shooting!
Of course it all depends on if you believe a country would ever go to war over something as trivial as oil!

If there was a shooting match between Lebanon & Israel then Israel should easily win, although the Lebanese Hezbollah manned/conrolled mobile C-802 missile launchers might cause some upset (as with INS Hanit 2006) Maybe Lebanon grant drilling/exploration rights to Russian oil/gas companies. Russia may then feel justified in protecting it's assets (and strengthening it's influence in the region) by moving naval units a little further South. As for Turkey ... I doubt even Turkey knows how that's going to turn out.

I did start a scenario on this subject with Israel/Lebanon/Egypt ...... but it ended up as just another stalled project!

[Tailhook]

Emboldened Iran vs Israel and/or US. Let's say using their new toys they decide to stir the pot in the Gulf. Alternatively, intelligence surfaces that the nuclear program was never cancelled.

[Airborne Rifles]

Russians decide to use a tactical nuclear strike in the Baltic against a NATO naval task force to 'escalate to de-escalate' and force NATO to the negotiating table before an Amercan counteroffensive into the occupied Baltic states.

[OldSarge]

Along the theme of 'Old Grudges' I would consider the current mid-East "Cold War" between Iran and Saudi Arabia interesting material with a lot of hypothetical branches.

The current "Cold War" could go hot if Iran intervened directly in a coup in Bahrain or if an assassination of a key diplomat was traced back to its source.

There are a number of regional powers who would immediately get caught up in such a war. It is also possible the major powers would find themselves drawn in, sort of a mini-WWI.